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Forget global warming...
It's Cycle 25 we need to worry about
(and if NASA scientists are right the Thames will be freezing over again)

Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years

*New Solar Energy Slump: as deep as the 'Maunder minimum'?
*World Temperatures drop again.
*Global Cooling enters it's 2nd Decade!
*Sunspot numbers cut in half.
*World Temperatures drop 1/2 degree.

Based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations, the data was issued last week without fanfare by the Met Office and the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit. It confirms that the rising trend in world temperatures ended in 1997.
Met Office climate models show there should have been 'steady warming from 2000 until now'. 'The real issue is whether the model itself is accurate.'

The Sun is now heading towards a 'grand minimum' in its output, threatening cold summers, bitter winters and a shortening of the season available for growing food.
'World temperatures may end up a lot cooler than now for 50 years or more,'

World temperatures have fallen by more than half a degree since the end of last year.

'We're now well into the second decade of the pause,'
said Benny Peiser, director of the Global Warming Policy Foundation. 'If we don't see convincing evidence of global warming by 2015, it will start to become clear whether the models are bunk. And, if they are, the implications for some scientists could be very serious.'

'If temperatures continue to stay flat or start to cool again, the divergence between the models and recorded data will eventually become so great that the whole scientific community will question the current theories,' he said.
'The responsible thing to do would be to accept the fact that the models may have severe shortcomings when it comes to the influence of the sun,' said Professor Curry. As for the warming pause, she said that many scientists 'are not surprised'.

The Sun was highly active for much of the 20th Century.
Four hundred years of sunspot observations:

"The implications for some scientists could be very serious.'
Of course the politicians will have made their money and a new crop will espouse the need to "do something".
For those of you who like waves and cycles, the sun is amazing.
We know so little.
And we don't know what we don't know.
WSJ: The Global Warming Hoax
Princeton physics professor William Happer on why a large number of scientists don't believe that carbon dioxide is causing global warming..

"The IPCC Models have been completely wrong."
"There has been no warming as CO2 levels have increased."
"The policy should be to do nothing concerning CO2 for decades."
"In fact carbon emissions may be helpful to mankind."
Anybody breaking a sweat in Tulsa today at 12 degrees above the Jan 30th average temp? wink.gif

P.S. Wouldn't have noticed this except the wife is flying to your town tonight for her mother's 90th and as she was packing I heard her say; "Geez, middle of winter and I'm not even going to need a coat for a while." smile.gif

Anybody breaking a sweat in Tulsa today at 12 degrees above the Jan 30th average temp?

It's La Nia and Arctic Oscillation and "It's wonderful!" as one lady told a local news correspondent.
67 tomorrow and I still have cabbage and onions growing in my garden.
I had the best fall garden ever!
"It's wonderful! Keep them Sunny spots a coming!"

-80F in Alaska! All-time USA record low temp almost broken
but thermometer breaks!

Alaska and Canada have been suffering through some of the coldest temperatures on record during the last week.
For example in Circle Hot Springs, AK on Sunday, 29 Jan 2012 the HIGH temperature was a blistering -49F, breaking the -44F record which has stood since 1917. It gets better.
That same day in Circle Hot Springs the low temperature was -58F breaking the old record of -52F set in 1941 by six degrees.

I just watched the news in Japan...Record snow with more coming!

"La Nia has also helped keep the jet stream on a west-to-east path over Canada, preventing cold Arctic air from dipping into the Lower 48 states, he said.
A phenomenon known as the Arctic Oscillation has reinforced that effect, Patzert said."
Snow falls in Rome for first time in 26 years...
(Amazing photos at link)

The north of the country has also been gripped by snow and ice that is disrupting train travel.Temperatures plunged as low as minus 22 Celsius (minus 7 Fahrenheit), in Trepalle, a village in the Italian Alps.
Snow in Rome came as the death toll across Europe reached 150. Temperatures have plummeted as low as -36c in parts of Ukraine and Siberia.
In Serbia, at least 11,000 villagers are stranded in their homes by heavy snow and blizzards which have hit remote areas that cannot be reached due to icy, snow-clogged roads.

The worst weather is near Serbia's southwestern town of Sijenica, where it has been freezing cold or snowing for 26 days, and diesel fuel supplies used by snowploughs are running low.
Thirty-eight more people have died overnight as freezing weather grips Ukraine, authorities say. The death toll there from the past week is now 101.

Maybe warm is a good thing.

The catastrophic (CAGW) theory is empirically a very lame theory

Global warming is not rapid, accelerating or runaway

From yr 1850, the per century linear trend is +0.43C (+0.34C by 2100AD)
Last 30 years, the per century linear trend is +1.58C (+1.40C by 2100AD)
Last 15 years, the per century linear trend is +0.34C (+0.29C by 2100AD)
Last 10 years, the per century linear trend is --0.72C (-0.63C by 2100AD)

Note: Linear trends are not predictions


STUDY: Himalayas, nearby peaks lost no ice in past 10 years...

Scientists 'stunned'...

Wednesday 8 February 2012

"Scientists stunned"?
They must have been depending on dogma rather than data. wink.gif

"The world's greatest snow-capped peaks, which run in a chain from the Himalayas to Tian Shan on the border of China and Kyrgyzstan, have lost no ice over the last decade, new research shows.
The discovery has stunned scientists, who had believed that around 50bn tonnes of meltwater were being shed each year and not being replaced by new snowfall.
The study is the first to survey all the world's icecaps and glaciers and was made possible by the use of satellite data. Overall, the contribution of melting ice outside the two largest caps – Greenland and Antarctica – is much less then previously estimated, with the lack of ice loss in the Himalayas and the other high peaks of Asia responsible for most of the discrepancy.
Unusually cold weather makes living tough in Turkey and Romania
The death toll caused by the Siberian cold wave continued to widen Friday in Romania, to 57 deaths, said the Ministry of Health.Sixteen people died in the last 48 hours, thirteen in the night from Thursday to Friday, while nearly 150 have been treated for frostbite and hypothermia.Some 60,000 people were isolated in the east, their supplies of food and water being depleted, according to local authorities. Fifty communities were without electricity.

A man climbs on snow as he gets out from a small cottage in the village of Varasti village, 100km east from Bucharest, on Friday.

Romanian peasant woman Rodica, 41, shovels around one of her car buried in snow, in the affected village of Maineasa, 30 kilometers north-east from Bucharest, Romania, on Friday. Some 13 deaths were register in Romania due to severe hypothermia in the last 24 hours, raising the death toll to 57 since first cold wave hit the country on 27 January. Heavy snowfalls are expected over the weekend in eastern and south of Romania.
300 Dead in Record European Cold

Now in its third week, a European cold snap has claimed more than 300 lives and sent hundreds more to hospitals, the Telegraph and BBC report. Some temperatures have plunged as low as -40 Fahrenheit. Ukraine still has it worst with 131 officially dead—most of them homeless—and 1,800 hospitalized, but Poland saw eight more die overnight to bring its death toll to 53. In eastern Bosnia, rescue helicopters are dropping food to the needy while Sarajevo, paralyzed by snow, has declared a state of emergency.

The cold has even licked North Africa, where 16 Algerians are reported dead on snowy roads and in other weather-related incidents. At least four have died in France, while snowed-in Rome is sheeted in black ice. "It's awful," said one Rome resident.
and they're worried about warming...

Once you adjust warming is no big problem. Cold? THAT'S a problem.

QUOTE (Rogerdodger @ Feb 13 2012, 09:33 PM) *

Posted 2 years ago:

Historically, low solar activity has been connected to cold winters in Europe. A definitive physical mechanism for this fact has not yet been presented. This analysis however shows that the influence of solar activity together with stratospheric mechanisms acting on the Arctic Oscillation is statistically significant

BRACE yourself for more winters like the last one, northern Europe. Freezing conditions could become more likely: winter temperatures may even plummet to depths last seen at the end of the 17th century, a time known as the Little Ice Age. That's the message from a new study that identifies a compelling link between solar activity and winter temperatures in northern Europe.
True believers will never abandon the faith!

Now they blame colder temperatures on...GLOBAL WARMING!!! laugh.gif

Science behind the big freeze: is climate change bringing the Arctic to Europe?

"The current weather pattern fits earlier predictions of computer models for how the atmosphere responds to the loss of sea ice due to global warming," said Professor Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.

EDIT: I forgot that they had to change "Global Warming" to "Climate Change".
Temperatures are currently 0.4 degrees colder for the date than any other year in the past decade. Temperatures have dropped almost a full degree since 2010.

Joe Bastardi has been telling us for several years that we were headed for a huge dive in temperatures. It is here.

Joe Bastardi Nailed It:

Most of us know where this is going overall the next 20-30 years. N America has been the warm heart of a cooling planet. For the record, I expect a weak to perhaps moderate el nino to evolve this summer into winter, and while that will push global temps up a bit, double la ninas followed by el ninos with a cold PDO means the break we had this year in N America is not likely to repeat next year. Europe is likely to have another severe stretch, which would make it 4 winters in a row year to deal with a cold extreme.

Steven Goddard says:

We have gone 20 years without a big volcanic eruption, we are near solar max, and ENSO is neutral. They have got to realize that their scam is at a tipping point.

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