Jump to content



Photo

Fearless Forecaster's Poll - Observation


  • Please log in to reply
1 reply to this topic

#1 sjj

sjj

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 683 posts

Posted 20 March 2008 - 11:52 PM

As I'm sure many folks do, I always guess what the bullish/bearish number will be at before I vote and view. I am ALWAY right in my guess which includes a guess that it will be pretty even - and I almost always guess that the predominant vote will be for what the market did that same day. I have found myself laughing out loud at the thought that the vote is only a reflection of the most recent market direction :) What I do find useful is a prolonged period of lopsided sentiment and I use that as a contrarian indicator. If the board is paniced I get excited.

You can't be a beacon if your light don't shine !



#2 IYB

IYB

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 7,157 posts

Posted 21 March 2008 - 02:49 AM

As I'm sure many folks do, I always guess what the bullish/bearish number will be at before I vote and view. I am ALWAY right in my guess which includes a guess that it will be pretty even - and I almost always guess that the predominant vote will be for what the market did that same day. I have found myself laughing out loud at the thought that the vote is only a reflection of the most recent market direction :)

What I do find useful is a prolonged period of lopsided sentiment and I use that as a contrarian indicator. If the board is paniced I get excited.

Exactly. ;)
“Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, one by one.” Charles Mackay, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds