The VRTrader.com VR Silver Newsletter - Monday 3/1/2010"Tools for the High Performance Trader"
Copyright ©2010, All rights reserved.
Redistribution in any form is strictly prohibited. LEIBOVIT FILES | by Mark Leibovit Leibovit Files
Monday, March 01, 2010
Beware The Ides Of March?
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My 'Annual Forecast Model' (VR Forecaster Report) is now posted on the VRtrader.com website and covers cyclical projections for the Dow Industrials, the TSX, Gold, Crude Oil, Ten Year Interest Rate Yields and the US Dollar Index. Subscribe today and insure getting your copy. The Model has been published since 1987 and has garnered a respectable following among traders and investors seeking an overall 'timing' tool for the major markets. Remember, there is no price too high for good information!
Here is the link:
https://www.vrtrader...cribe/index.asp
If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to call me and leave a voice mail message at 928-282-1275 or email me at mark.vrtrader@gmail.com.
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What is our true national debt?
http://www.truthin08.org/
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UPCOMING ECONOMIC RELEASES/MARKET EVENTS
MARCH 1 - 5, 2010:
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MONDAY, MARCH 1, 2010:
PRE-MARKET EARNINGS REPORTS:
DISH Network, Echostar Holdings, Sotheby's
Personal Income and Outlays
8:30 AM ET
ISM Mfg Index
10:00 AM ET
Construction Spending
10:00 AM ET
4-Week Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
3-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
6-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
POST-MARKET EARNINGS REPORTS:
MBIA Inc
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TUESDAY, MARCH 2, 2010:
'Turnaround Tuesday'?
PRE-MARKET EARNINGS REPORTS:
AutoZone, Boyd Gaming, Fresh Del Monte, Staples
Motor Vehicle Sales
ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
7:45 AM ET
Redbook
8:55 AM ET
4-Week Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
Boston Federal Reserve Bank President Eric Rosengren speech at a conference on post-crisis capital markets in Philadelphia.
1:00 PM ET
Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Naranyana Kocherlakota speech to Allied Executives Business & Economic Outlook Symposium in Minneapolis.
2:00 PM ET
POST-MARKET EARNINGS REPORTS:
Hovnanian Entrpr
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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 3, 2010:
PRE-MARKET EARNINGS REPORTS:
Big Lots, BJ's Wholesale, Costco
MBA Purchase Applications
7:00 AM ET
Challenger Job-Cut Report
7:30 AM ET
ADP Employment Report
8:15 AM ET
Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher speech on globalization and the recovery to the Council on Foreign Relations in New York.
9:00 AM ET
ISM Non-Mfg Index
10:00 AM ET
EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Dennis Lockhart speech on credit markets and the economic outlook to the New York Association for Business Economics.
1:00 PM ET
Beige Book
2:00 PM ET
POST-MARKET EARNINGS REPORTS:
PETsMART, Sun Healthcare, Yamana Gold
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THURSDAY, MARCH 4, 2010:
PRE-MARKET EARNINGS REPORTS:
Del Monte, Gerber Scientific, Wendy's
Chain Store Sales
Monster Employment Index
6:00 AM ET
Jobless Claims
8:30 AM ET
Productivity and Costs
8:30 AM ET
RBC CASH Index
9:00 AM ET
30-Yr Bond Announcement
9:00 AM ET
Factory Orders
10:00 AM ET
Pending Home Sales Index
10:00 AM ET
EIA Natural Gas Report
10:30 AM ET
3-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
6-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
52-Week Bill Announcement
11:00 AM ET
3-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM ET
10-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM ET
Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans speech to the CFA Society of Chicago.
1:00 PM ET
Treasury STRIPS
3:00 PM ET
Fed Balance Sheet
4:30 PM ET
Money Supply
4:30 PM ET
POST-MARKET EARNINGS REPORTS:
Marvell
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FRIDAY, MARCH 5, 2010:
Employment Situation
8:30 AM ET
Consumer Credit
3:00 PM ET
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STOCKS - ACTION ALERT -
Bottom line: The market is going higher and should see new highs. The Dow Transports are already within striking distance. The question is whether the 'bad news bears' can hold the market back until mid-March where we often see a market low point. Beware the 'Ides of March'? All we can do is take it a day at a time, but as discussed below, if too many believe a low lies ahead, the opposite could easily unfold as well.
The market held steady Friday, trading in a narrow range, after mixed economic news was announced with GDP revised up but home resales and consumer sentiment down. The Dow rose 4.23 to 10325.26, the S&P gained 1.56 to 1104.49, and the NASDAQ up 4 to 2238.26. These three indexes were up less than 0.2%. Small caps did worse with the Russell 2000 down 0.30%, but Transports rose 0.50% (see below).
The Wednesday-through-Friday rally may have been attributed to end of the month 'window dressing' by portfolio managers who are somehow compelled good-performing stocks and compelled to sell bad-performing stocks to doctor up their holdings.
Monday is the first day of the month we could see some 401(k) funds put to work which would help the markets higher. Tuesday, of course, is 'Turnaround Tuesday' and we could then head lower. But, as I've said, the more time that passes and the closer we get to mid-March, the greater the likelihood the February 5 lows were THE lows and we're now heading up, up and away to new market highs. Look at the leading Dow Transportation Index! It is within striking distance of its bull market high. Also, it appears the Euro (ETF symbol is FXE) is attempting to form a trading bottom. We have to watch this pattern carefully as it implies a weaker US Dollar which then translates to higher precious metal prices and equity prices in general!
Financials (XLF) were the top performing sector on Friday, up 0.62% after J.P. Morgan & Co. executives told investors Thursday it did not foresee the need to make strategic shifts despite changing regulations. JPM rose 3.27%.
Consumer Discretionary (XLY +0.16%) hit a new recovery high of 30.60 on Friday. Consumer Staples (XLP -0.48%) traded as high as 27.20, just shy of the 27.21 recovery high set on Monday.
At the risk of sounding egotistical, you need to know that my work is widely read and often my ideas are quickly integrated into mainstream commentary. That is, of course, without any acknowledgement to me. It is not that my subscription base is huge, it is my work is widely circulated. Numerous reporters, traders, money-managers, and other newsletter and research writers are directly and indirectly on the receiving end. When I mentioned many weeks ago that I thought we were ultimately headed into a bubble in Gold (in the years ahead), others started to talk about Gold having hit a bubble now. That wasn't my intent, but commentators picked up on that line and used it extensively. Over a year ago (I believe in November, 2008) I spoke of the fact the Gold will never go to zero, providing even a greater reason to own and invest in it. In a matter of hours, everyone was using that same expression. I even heard it in numerous radio-tv commercials. In recent weeks I've been t alking about a mid-March low in the stock market. You're now hearing about it everywhere. Indeed, the market may now do just the opposite or will it simply become a self-fulfilling prophecy.
When you're at the top of the profession, unfortunately these are the risks in putting out new or original ideas.
Another such idea is the Volume Reversal ®. The term Volume Reversal ® has been used exclusively in my newsletter and reports since 1979. It was also described and attributed to me back in 1988 in Robert W. Colby's 'The Encylopedia of Technical Market Indicators'. The term is now frequently popping up without any regard to the fact it is a trademarked term and that I am the 'master' of that indicator.
Over the years I have done my best to vigorously let others know that like TRIN (which is now called ARMS, named after the inventor Dick ARMS), the Volume Reversal ® is a proprietary tool. Having been out there since 1979 and talking up my work obviously has its drawbacks, and, unfortunately, this is one of them.
That's the bad news. The good news is that I'm working on a book and working with a technical platform provider (under license) to allow public access to the indicaor (for a fee, of course). I will keep you posted.
The point here is that sometimes being in the mainstream works to your detriment. Often it is better to sit quietly and trade and/or manage money than to expound on your ideas. This is especially true when you have a platform apparently as large as mine.
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DOW TRANSPORTS - ACTION ALERT -
Transportation stocks outperformed on Friday, despite a gain in oil and a winter storm that is hampering travel and shipping. Momentum and relative strength are clearly with the Transports as the Dow Jones Transportation Average hits its highest level in over a month. As you know, I consider this industry to be a good leading indicator, which is a bullish signal for the rest of the market. On Friday, the Dow Jones Transportation Average gained 20.76 or 0.50% to close at 4134.57.
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GOLD and METALS - ACTION ALERT -
Precious metals rallied Friday as the US Dollar weakened and traders sought safety amid weak economic news in the US, England, and Japan, and credit problems in Europe. Gold rallied 11.30 to 1117.90, silver jumped 0.39 to 16.49, platinum gained 10 to 15.41, and palladium moved up 10 to 431. May copper rose 0.0740 to 3.2840.
Above 1130 Gold will like test the 1222.00 higher and, in my view, could ultimately see 1400 this year. The 'bad news bears' are out there with their dire predictions, but they have been dead wrong for 10 years and there is little reason they are going to be right at this time - other than seeing minor corrections. We're a huge 20-year up cycle interspersed with zigs and zags. That's it! Much of the 'bad news' is reverse public relations sponsored by anonymous sources hell bent on driving 'paper' Gold lower. Add the following link to your desktop favorites: http://www.gata.org/. It is the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee. It provides real research by lifetime dedicated individuals exposing the fraud (among others) being perpetrated on investsor worldwide. Meanwhile, the smart players (like you and I) are buying the physical metal and keeping our wits about us.
What if I'm wrong? Well, I don't think I'm wrong, but should Gold be forced down, let's say back to 800, it will only be temporary. And, my 'Volume Reversal' ® indicator and cyclical work should keep us on top of (and profit from) such a move much as it did when I sent out a December 3 'Sell' signal.
Here is the link to the VR Gold Letter:
www.vrgoldletter.com
If you are a Platinum or Silver subscriber, special discount rates are offered. Please contact my office for details: mark.vrtrader@gmail.com or 928-282-1275.
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BONDS - ACTION ALERT -
Treasuries staged another big rally on Friday after large rallies on Thursday and Tuesday. The long bond future rose 24/32 to 117 22/32 (the market is switching from the March to June contract) and trading at its highest level since February 9 and nearing resistance at the 118 2/32 high of February 5.
Even though the stock market held up well last week, all the weak economic news took the 10-year yield down by their largest amount since August. Again, it could be 'flight to safety' issue.
I have not positions in the bond market and remain on the sidelines.
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CRUDE OIL - ACTION ALERT -
Oil rallied as the Dollar fell and the Northeast got hit by yet another blizzard. Crude oil gained 1.49 to 79.66. Natural gas, which has declined in recent weeks as crude has rallied, also got a boost from the cold weather, up 0.046 to 4.813.
Crude Oil volume has been quite positive and I'm looking for new relative highs (above 83.95) over the near-term.
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US DOLLAR - ACTION ALERT -
The US Dollar Index fell after failing to break through resistance in the 81 area. The lack of news in Europe, despite continued warnings about Greece and Spain, is enabling the Euro to rally for a change. The US Dollar Index declined 0.425 to 80.362. The Euro is showing some signs of bottoming out here and I'm watching unfolding patterns carefully. Such a bounce will likely translate to lower US Dollar Index pricing, so stay tuned. Overall, however, there is no clear sign the intermediate rally in the Dollar is over, so I suspect if we get a pullback here it is not the big one!
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URANIUM - ACTION ALERT
Ux U3O8 Prices* (Uranium)
February 22, 2010 Posting
Spot: $41.75 DOWN 0.25. Bull market high in the cash market was $138.00.
The March Uranium Futures closed at $40.75, a new bear market low. June 13, 2007 hosted the bull market high of 154.95. Major support lies well under the market at $36.00.
The spot price of uranium quadrupled from 2004 to 2007. When it hit $138/lb, uranium became a certified bubble, which has now burst. For investors, this is the best possible news, of course. Nuclear power is the ultimate alternative fuel, as the French will tell you. You get all the power, 84% cheaper than coal, with none of the politics of rogue nations and none of the greenhouse emissions.
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ECONOMIC NEWS:
Resales of U.S. homes and condos fell 7.2% in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.05 million, the lowest in seven months, the National Association of Realtors reported Friday. Sales of existing homes have fallen two consecutive months after rising steadily through the fall on the back of a federal subsidy for first-time home buyers. "It's not good news," said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the real estate industry lobbying group. "There is rising concern about the strength of the housing recovery." Inventories of unsold homes fell 0.5% to 3.265 million, or 7.8 months of supply at the current sales pace.
U.S. consumer sentiment fell slightly in February amid persistent concerns about the weak job market and a slow economic recovery, based on the latest data from the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey of consumers. The consumer sentiment index fell to 73.6 from 74.4 in January, according to media reports. The data jibed with a separate report earlier this week that showed a decline in consumer confidence. Economists had been looking for the headline number to taper off to 73.7 points.
The U.S. economy grew slightly faster than previously reported in the fourth quarter, the Commerce Department estimated Friday, but details of the revision to gross domestic product show final sales in the United States were actually weaker than reported a month ago. U.S. real gross domestic product increased at a 5.9% seasonally adjusted annualized pace in the final three months of 2009, revised up from 5.7% estimated last month. The revision was exactly in line with expectations of economists. Nearly two thirds of the growth in GDP in the fourth quarter was accounted for by changes in inventories, not by final sales. Businesses had been reducing their overstocks at the fastest pace in generations earlier in the year, and then sharply slowed the pace of reductions in the fourth quarter. The slowdown accounted for most of the fourth-quarter growth. Although GDP grew at the fastest pace in six years, final demand in the economy was tepid, rising 1.9% annualized, revised down f rom 2.2% earlier. Excluding exports, final sales to U.S. purchasers rose at a 1.6% annual rate.
Japanese government data released Friday painted a mixed picture of the nation's economy, with industrial output and retail sales rising more than expected but consumer prices still locked in deflation's grip. Industrial output rose a seasonally adjusted 2.5% in January from December, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said, marking the 11th straight month of increase. The figure beat the 1.1% rise expected by economists. Separate data Friday from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry showed Japan's retail sales rose 2.6% in January from the same month a year earlier, the first such rise in 17 months. Japan's core consumer price index for January fell 1.3% from the same month a year earlier, according to data released by Japan's Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. The drop in core CPI marked Japan's 11th consecutive month of deflation. The result matched economists' average forecasts. Compared to December, core CPI -- which excludes volatile fresh- food prices -- was down 0.6%. Overall CPI, which includes all prices, was down 1.3% from a year earlier and down 0.2% from the previous month.
The British economy expanded by an upwardly revised 0.3% in the final three months of 2009, the Office for National Statistics said Friday, outstripping the agency's initial estimate of 0.1% growth. Upward changes to output in services and production were the key drivers behind the revision, the ONS said. Government spending and personal consumption were revised higher, as were exports and imports, while gross fixed capital formation was revised lower. Inventory de-stocking also contributed to the rise. Economists had forecast the revision to show a 0.2% quarterly rise.
Greece has planed a plan to sell at least $2 billion of bonds to U.S. and Asian investors, Dow Jones Newswires reported citing a finance ministry spokesman. The spokesman cited visits from E.U. officials and parliamentary work for the delay. "We have not set a date yet, but it will happen," the spokesman was quoted as saying about a roadshow that is due to hit Beijing, Shanghai, Tokyo and possibly Singapore, New York and the U.S. West Coast.
Standard & Poor's warned Friday that Spain's weak growth imperils the government plan to curb its budget deficit as it kept a negative outlook on the country's credit rating. S&P, which rates Spain AA+, said the government deficit is likely to remain above 5% by 2013, vs. the official forecast of 3% of GDP. The government debt burden may hit 80% of GDP by 2012, S&P said. The rating agency says the country's revenue collection assumptions may be too rosy: its tax base is highly sensitive to domestic demand and has been sensitive to the now-collapsed real estate sector, which accounted for more than half of total tax revenue between 1995 and 2007. S&P sees the country growing 0.6% a year between 2010 and 2013 vs. the government view of 1.5%.
CORPORATE NEWS:
Gap Inc., the largest U.S. clothing chain, said Thursday its fourth-quarter net income rose to $352 million, or 51 cents a share, from $243 million, or 34 cents, a year earlier. Sales in the quarter ended Jan. 30 rose 4% to $4.24 billion, the San Francisco-based company said. Gap also forecast profit of $1.70 to $1.75 a share this year, which was above the $1.68 average estimate of analysts. The company, which also owns Old Navy and Banana Republic chains, plans to buy back additional $1 billion in stock and increased its annual dividend by 18% to 40 cents a share. GPS rose 5.44%.
Fluor Corp. reported late Thursday fourth-quarter net income fell to $149 million, or 82 cents a share, from $190 million, or $1.03 a share, a year ago. Revenue fell 10% to $5.48 billion. Analysts were looking for earnings, on average, of 89 cents a share on sales of $5.45 billion. For the full year, the engineering and construction giant lowered its full-year earnings estimate to $2.80 to $3.20 a share from its previous estimate of $3.20 to $3.60 a share. Wall Street was looking for a 2010 profit of $3.40 a share. FLR fell 4.99%.
Novell Inc. said Thursday its fiscal first-quarter net income rose to $20.2 million, or 6 cents a share, from $10.7 million, or 3 cents a share in the same period a year earlier. The Waltham, Mass.-based provider of business software said revenue for the period ended in January fell to $202.4 million from $214.9 million. Analysts had expected Novell to post earnings of 7 cents a share, and $207.6 million in revenue. NOVL declined 2.29%.
American International Group reported a fourth-quarter net loss of $8.9 billion, or $65.51 a share, on Friday. That compares to a net loss of $61.7 billion, or $458.99 a share, in the fourth quarter of 2008. The fourth-quarter 2009 adjusted net loss was $7.2 billion, or $53.23 a share, compared to an adjusted net loss of $38.5 billion, or $287.69 a share, in the fourth quarter of 2008. AIG said it strengthened loss reserves for its General Insurance division by $2.3 billion, or $1.5 billion after tax. The insurer also said it continues to address funding needs and explore strategic restructuring opportunities for International Lease Finance Corporation (ILFC), and American General Finance, Inc. (AGF). AIG lost 9.96%.
The Interpublic Group of Companies Inc. on Friday said its fourth-quarter net income fell to $129.4 million, or 24 cents a share, from $209.8 million, or 39 cents a share, in the year-ago period. The advertising holding company's revenue fell 5% to $1.8 billion, compared to $1.90 billion in the fourth quarter. Analysts expected earnings of 24 cents a share. IPG rallied 11.11%.
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Canadian TSE, TSE Venture and Canadian Dollar Commentary for our Canadian clients updated for Monday, March 1. Check the VR List below for Canadian Positive and Negative Volume Reversals ®.
Like the US market, the Canadian market finished flat on Friday as a decline in Industrials offset gains in Energy and Metals & Mining. The TSE lost 1.81 or 0.02% to close at 11,629.63.
It may be time to watch the Canadian market. A study by Brooke Thackray found that the TSE outperforms the S&P 500 at the end of February through the middle of March.
Canada reported a C$3.06 billion ($2.89 billion) deficit in December, after posting a surplus a year earlier, as jobless benefit payouts rose and personal income tax receipts fell. The country's deficit in the first nine months of the fiscal year that began April 1 was C$39.4 billion, the finance department said in a report published in Ottawa. The federal government in December 2008 had a monthly surplus of C$334 million and a nine-month surplus of C$373 million. Prime Minister Stephen Harper forecasts a record C$55.9 billion deficit this fiscal year because of slowing revenue, unemployment benefits and an auto-industry bailout. Program spending rose 13 percent in December from a year earlier to C$19.1 billion, as unemployment payouts increased 20 percent. Revenue fell 5.6 percent to C$18.4 billion from C$19.5 billion in December 2008. Personal income taxes were down 7.4 percent, while premiums received from the country's employment insurance program fell 27 percent.
Canada's current account deficit narrowed less than expected in the fourth quarter from a record set in the previous period, government figures showed. Payments sent abroad exceeded receipts from outside Canada by C$9.77 billion ($9.24 billion) in the October to December period, Statistics Canada said in Ottawa. Economists predicted the deficit would narrow to C$8.5 billion. The deficit suggests that trade will remain a drag on economic growth this year, as the Bank of Canada predicted in January. Governor Mark Carney has said that a strong currency and a low volume of U.S. orders will limit the country's expansion to 2.9 percent this year.
Canadian nickel and copper miner FNX Mining posted a fourth-quarter profit that handily beat estimates, helped mainly by reduced costs and improved commodity prices. The company posted a net income of C$32.1 million, or 31 Canadian cents per share, compared with a net loss of C$397.4 million, or C$4.68 per share, last year. In the year-ago quarter, FNX had an impairment writedown of $509.8 million related to a fall in commodity prices, production cut and employee layoffs. Revenue for the latest fourth quarter more than doubled to C$108.6 million. Analysts on average had expected earnings of 17 Canadian cents a share, on revenue of C$94.03 million. The company's total ore sold rose 33 percent from a year ago to 359,896 tons during the latest fourth quarter. FNX.TO rallied 1.29%.
Energy 146.37 +0.65
Financials 176.17 -0.09
Health Care 35.86 +0.14
Industrials 95.66 -0.66
Information Technology 31.23 -0.18
Metals & Mining 1,028.44 +8.41
Telecommunications 79.70 +0.10
Utilities 192.96 +0.20
Resistance is 11,750 (bullseye), 12,126, 12,968, 13,771, 13,889, 13,983, 14,157. Support is 10,990, 10,800, 10,500, 10,384, 9500, 9300, 9140.
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TSE Venture:
With Energy and Metals & Mining rising, as mentioned above, the Venture posted a solid gain, up 13.25 or 0.87% to 1531.19.
Resistance is 1538, 1575, 1629, 1680. Support is 1429, 1403, 1383.
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THE CANADIAN DOLLAR (using the FXC Exchange Traded Fund):
A weak US Dollar and rising commodity prices lifted the Canadian currency on Friday. FXC jumped 0.64 to 94.70. FXC has already rallied 1.42 off its Thursday low of 93.28.
Resistance is 97.46, 98.00, 100.00. Support is 92.46, 92.01, 91.00, 89.75, and 85.18.
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TIMER DIGEST signals for Stocks, Gold and Bonds are available to Platinum subscribers on the Home Page. TIMER DIGEST is an independent ranking service and newsletter. VRtrader.com, Inc. and TIMER DIGEST have no affiliation.
TIMER DIGEST has named Mark Leibovit of VRTrader.com 'TIMER OF THE YEAR' for 2006 and was named the #2 Timer for 2007.
As of January 25, 2010, TIMER DIGEST has named Mark Leibovit the 7th Market Timer for the 5 year period ending 12/31/09; the 3rd Market Timer for the 8 year period ending 12/31/09 and the #2 Market Timer for the 10 year period ending 12/31/09.
As of January 25, 2009, TIMER DIGEST also named Mark Leibovit the #2 Gold Timer for the 10 year period ending 12/31/09!
More kudos - Mark Leibovit was named the #1 Intermediate Market Timer for the 10 year period ending in 2007; the #1 Intermediate Market Timer for the 3 year period ending in 2007; the #1 Intermediate Market Timer for the 8 year period ending in 2007; and the #8 Intermediate Market Timer for the 5 year period ending in 2007. NO OTHER ANALYST SURVEYED APPEARED IN ALL FOUR CATEGORIES FOR INTERMEDIATE MARKET TIMING AS PUBLISHED IN TIMER DIGEST JANUARY 28, 2008!
Mark Leibovit was also named the #1 Gold Timer for the one-year period ending March 25, 2008. Most recently, from: 12/26/08 to: 03/27/2009, he is ranked in the #5 position for 3 month return.
Current TIMER DIGEST signals for stocks:
'Buy' signal March 4, 2009.
'Sell' signal May 27, 2009.
'Buy' signal July 21, 2009.
'Sell' signal September 2, 2009.
'Buy' signal September 3, 2009.
'Sell' signal October 15, 2009.
'Buy' signal November 13, 2009.
'Sell' signal November 30, 2009.
'Buy' signal December 1, 2009.
'Sell' signal January 27, 2010.
'Buy' signal February 12, 2010.
Current TIMER DIGEST signals for Gold:
'Sell' signal November 30, 2009.
'Buy' signal December 1, 2009.
'Sell' signal January 27, 2010.
'Buy' signal February 12, 2010.
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I will be speaking at the Money Show in Vancouver, April 6-8, at the Regency Hyatt Hotel. The link to the event is below:
http://www.moneyshow...s/?scode=017158
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I will also speaking at the Money Show in Last Vegas, May 10-13 at Caesar's Palace. The link to the event is below:
http://www.moneyshow...sp?scode=017336
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DAILY VR LIST:
Editors note: The Daily VR List here is abbreviated with the full list only available to Platinum subscribers by clicking on 'Current VR List' on the Home Page of VRtrader.com. Canadian shares are listed at the bottom of each section with the title: 'XXX CANADIAN STOCKS XXX'.
Silver subscribers who find this useful should upgrade to Platinum where you can pull down VR charts for many securities and watch the patterns unfold for yourself. There is no technical service on the planet that posts Positive and Negative VR! Why? Because they are proprietary to VRtrader.com!
How do you use this list? VRs are buy and sell triggers and are particularly useful in defining lows or highs in stocks and stock indexes. Traders find them particularly useful, especially coming off market extremes as an indication of a change of direction. Use the VRs in conjunction with your other technical indicators and you've added a unique technical tool to your arsenal.
What is a Volume Reversal ™? There are several proprietary subtleties to the Volume Reversal ™ algorithm, but essentially a Volume Reversal ™ is a change from a Rally day to a Reaction day accompanied by a increase of volume or a change from a Reaction day to Rally day accompanied by an increase in volume. Volume Reversals ™ coming off intermediate lows or highs have greater significance in helping to define those lows or highs and important pivot points in the marketplace. The Volume Reversals ™ presented here provide you with a unique research tool that may have trading (short-term) significance, but it also may have 'trend changing' (intermediate) significance as well. The sector Volume Reversals ™ show where big money is possibly affecting an entire group of stocks. The stocks listed under the group have posted Volume Reversals ™ along with the group as a whole. The individual stocks listed have posted Volume Reversals ™ on their own and are valid plays as well.
To see a visual representation of Volume Reversals ™, please go our Current Portfolio section and click on any recommended stock. Or, if you would like to get a VR Chart for a specific symbol, please click here. Please note that not all symbols may be currently available:
VOLUME REVERSALS FOR FEBRUARY 26, 2010:
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POSITIVE VRs
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XXX CANADIAN STOCKS XXX Canadian Stocks
ARZ AURIZON MINES LTD
BMO.UN BANK OF MONTREAL
CEW CLAYMORE EQUAL WEIGHT
CG.UN CENTERRA GOLD
CLO CLAYMORE OIL SANDS SE
ERF.UN ENERPLUS RES FUND
ESI.UN ENSIGN ENERGY SERVICES
FEL.UN FAIRBORNE ENERGY LTS
FSY FORSYS METALS CORP
FTS FORTIS INC
G.UN GOLDCORP
IMG IAMGOLD CORP NPV
IVN.UN IVANHOE MINES
K.UN KINROSS GOLD
NAE.UN NAL OIL & GAS TRUST U
NVA NUVISTA ENERGY LIMITE
PAA.UN PAN AMERICAN SILVER
PD.UN PRECISION DRILLING TRUST
PVE.UN PROVIDENT ENERGY TRUS
RCI.B ROGERS COMMUNICATNS I CL B
RY.UN ROYAL BANK OF CANADA
SJR.B SHAW COMMUNICATIONS I CL B
SLF.UN SUNLIFE FINANCIAL SERTVICES
SLW.UN SILVER WHEATON CORP
TCM.UN THOMPSON CREEK METALS CO
VT.UN VITERRA INC
XMA ISHARES CDN S&P/TSX C
XTR ISHARES CDN S&P/TSX I
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AEROSPACE/DEFENSE Aerospace/Defense Major Dive
GR Goodrich Corp
LMT Lockheed Martin Corp
NOC Northrop Grumman Corp
AEROSPACE/DEFENSE Aerospace/Defense Products & S
ATK Alliant Techsystems Inc
BEAV Be Aerospace Inc
COL Rockwell Collins Inc
AUTOMOTIVE Auto Parts
DAN Dana Corp
GNTX Gentex Corp
MPAA Motorcar Parts of America` Inc
BANKING Foreign Regional Banks
BAP Credicorp Ltd
BCA Corpbanca Ads
BPOP Popular Inc
BANKING Money Center Banks
IBN Icici Bank Ltd Ads
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co
MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc
BANKING Regional - Mid-Atlantic Banks
CPBK Community Capital Corp
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshr A
NOVB North Valley Bancorp
BANKING Regional - Midwest Banks
MSFG Mainsource Fncl Goup Inc
PEBO Peoples Bancorp Inc Oh
BANKING Regional - Northeast Banks
ACFC Atlantic Coast Fed Corp
BPFH Boston Private Fincl Hld
MFLR Mayflower Co-Oper Bank
BANKING Regional - Pacific Banks
BMRC Bank of Marin
FTBK Frontier Financial Corp
NRIM Northrim Bank Alaska
BANKING Regional - Southeast Banks
BKBK Britton & Koontz Cap Cp
BTFG Banctrust Financial Group Inc
FBMS First Bancshares Inc (The) (MS
BANKING Regional - Southwest Banks
CFR Cullen Frost Bankers
COBZ Cobiz Ixstorm.com Inc New
FCFC Firstcity Financial Corp
BANKING Savings & Loans
ATBC Atlantic Bancgroup Inc
BHLB Berkshire Hills Bncorp
CASH Meta Financial Grp Inc
CHEMICALS Agricultural Chemicals
SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
CHEMICALS Chemicals - Major Diversified
DD Dupont E I Nemours & Co
FMC Fmc Corp
CHEMICALS Specialty Chemicals
CMP Compass Minerals International
FTK Flotek Industries Inc
GPRE Green Plains Renewable Energy
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES Business Software & Services
CSGP Costar Group Inc
GRVY Gravity Co
IHS IHS Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES Technical & System Software
ANSS Ansys Inc
TTWO Take-Two Intera Software
CONGLOMERATES Conglomerates
CBE Cooper Industries Inc
GY Gencorp Inc
HSC Harsco Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES Cleaning Products
OBCI Ocean Bio-Chem Inc
PG Procter & Gamble Co
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES Office Supplies
CRRC Courier Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES Packaging & Containers
BMS Bemis Co Inc
GEF Greif Brothers Corp A
GEF-B Greif Brothers Corp B
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES Textile - Apparel Footwear & A
VLCM Volcom Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES Business/Management Services
AGL Angelica Corp
ARBX Arbinet-thexchange
BID Sotheby's Holding Cl A
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES Consumer Services
CHE Chemed Corp
STAN Standard Parking
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES Education & Training Services
CEDU Chinaedu Corp
EDMC Education Management Cp
LOPE Grand Canyon Education
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES Technical Services
KBR KBR Inc.
SAI Saic Inc
TTEK Tetra Tech Inc
URS Urs Corp
DRUGS Biotechnology
ANIK Anika Therapeutics Inc
ARIA Ariad Pharmaceuticals
ATHX Athersys Inc
DRUGS Drug Delivery
ALKS Alkermes Inc
GNBT Generex Biotechnology
NKTR Nektar Therapeutics
DRUGS Drug Manufacturers - Other
AGN Allergan Inc
ALT Alteon Inc
ALTH Allos Therapeutics Inc.
DRUGS Drug Related Products
INB Integrated BioPharma Inc
NTY Nbty Inc
NUTR Nutraceutical Intl Corp
DRUGS Drugs - Generic
HITK Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co Inc
ELECTRONICS Diversified Electronics
AVX Avx Corp
DLB Dolby Laboratories Inc
ESP Espey Mfg & Electronics
ELECTRONICS Scientific & Technical Instrum
ATE Advantest Corp
BEC Beckman Coulter Inc
CPHD Cepheid
ELECTRONICS Semiconductor - Integrated Cir
AMCC Applied Micro Circuits
ATHR Atheros Communications Inc
AXTI Axt Inc
ENERGY Independent Oil & Gas
AEZ American Oil & Gas Inc
APC Anadarko Petroleum Corp
APU Amerigas Partners L.P.
ENERGY Major Integrated Oil & Gas
E Eni Spa Ads
REP Repsol Ypf Sa
ENERGY Oil & Gas Drilling & Explorati
ATLS Atlas America Inc
BBEP Breitburn Energy Partner Units
DO Diamond Offshre Drilling
ENERGY Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
BAS Basic Energy Services Inc
CLB Core Laboratories N.V.
DVR Cal Dive Intl Inc
ENERGY Oil & Gas Pipelines
BPL Buckeye Partners (L.P.)
CPNO Copano Energy Llc
CQP Cheniere Energy Partners Lp
ENERGY Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
IOC Interoil Corporation
MRO Marathon Oil Group
MUR Murphy Oil Corp
SUN Sunoco Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES Asset Management
AB Alliance Bernstein Holding LP
AMPH American Physicns Svc Gp
EV Eaton Vance Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES Closed End Fund - Debt
ADRA BLDRS Asia 50 ADR Index Fund E
AINV Apollo Investment Corp
ASP Amer Strion Stocks Inc
BLE Blackrock Muni Inc Trust Ii
CHW Calamos Global Dynamic Incm Fd
CHY Calamos Conv And High Incm Fd
FINANCIAL SERVICES Closed End Fund - Equity
AOD Alpine Total Dtnamic Div Fd
ASG Liberty All-Star Growth
BAL iPath Dow Jones-AIG Cotton Tot
BQY BlackRock S&P Quality Rankings
CET Central Securities Corp
COW CLAYMORE GLOBAL AGRIC
CSQ Calamos Strategic Total Return
CUT Claymore/Clear Global Timber I
CWI SPDR MSCI ACWI Ex-US ETF
DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture Fun
DBP PowerShares DB Precious Metals
DBS PowerShares DB Silver Fund
DBV PowerShares DB G10 Harvest Fd
DCW Div Cap Stg Glo Realty Fd
DEF Claymore Sabrient Defender ETF
DGL PowerShares DB Gold Fund
DGP DB Gold Double Long ETN
DHFT Diamond Hill Financial Trends
DHG Dws Derman Val Inc Fd Inc
DJP iPath Dow Jones-AIG Commodity
DPD Dow 30 Premium & Dividend Inco
DPO Dow 30 Enhanced Premium & Inc
DSV streetTRACKS Dow Jones US Smal
DTD WisdomTree Total Dividend Fund
DVM Cohen & Steers Div Majors Fd
ECH iShares MSCI Chile Index Fund
FINANCIAL SERVICES Credit Services
ADS Alliance Data
ALD Allied Capital Corp
CSE Capitalsource Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES Investment Brokerage - Nationa
CLMS Calamos Asset Management
ETFC E Trade Financial Corp
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group Inc
NMR Nomura Holdings Inc Ads
FINANCIAL SERVICES Investment Brokerage - Regiona
JLI Jesup & Lamont` Inc
NITE Knight Capital Group Inc Cl A
OPY Oppenheimer Hldgs Inc
HEALTH SERVICES Health Care Plans
CVH Coventry Health Care Inc
UAM Universal American Corp
HEALTH SERVICES Hospitals
MGLN Magellan Health Services Inc
HEALTH SERVICES Long-Term Care Facilities
KND Kindred Healthcare Inc
HEALTH SERVICES Medical Appliances & Equipment
ALGN Align Tech Inc
ARTC Arthrocare Corp
ELOS Syneron Medical Ltd
HEALTH SERVICES Medical Instruments & Supplies
ATEC Alphatec Holdings Inc
BCR C.R. Bard Inc
EVVV EV3 Inc
INSURANCE Life Insurance
AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd
KCLI Kansas City Life Insur
INSURANCE Property & Casualty Insurance
AFC Allmerica Financial Corp
CNA Cna Financial Corp
DGICB Donegal Group Inc Class B
INSURANCE Surety & Title Insurance
FNF Fidelity National Finl
ITIC Investors Title Co
KMR Kinder Morgan Mgmt Llc
INTERNET Internet Information Providers
SOHU Sohu.Com Inc
INTERNET Internet Service Providers
DGI Digital Globe Inc.
ELNK Earthlink Incorporated
INTERNET Internet Software & Services
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc
JCOM J2 Global Communications
MDRX Allscripts Healthcare Solution
LEISURE Restaurants
BKC Burger King Holdings Inc
BNHNA Benihana Inc Cl A
BOBE Bob Evans Farms Inc
MANUFACTURING Diversified Machinery
BGG Briggs & Stratton Corp
ETN Eaton Corp
GDI Gardner Denver Inc
MANUFACTURING Industrial Electrical Equipmen
AIMC Altra Industrial Motion Inc.
AME Ametek Inc
BEZ Baldor Electric Co
MANUFACTURING Machine Tools & Accessories
RBC Regal-Beloit Corp
MANUFACTURING Metal Fabrication
HIHO Highway Holdings Limited
RS Reliance Steel & Alum Co
MANUFACTURING Pollution & Treatment Controls
ERII Energy Recovery Inc.
WPRT Westport Innovations Inc
MANUFACTURING Small Tools & Accessories
SNA Snap-On Inc
SWK Stanley Worksthe
TTC Toro Co
MANUFACTURING Textile Manufacturing
AIN Albany International A
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION General Building Materials
CRR Carbo Ceramics Inc
GFF Griffon Corp
RPM Rpm International
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION Lumber
DEL Deltic Timber Corp
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION Residential Construction
AXR Amrep Corp
MDC M.D.C Holdings Inc
NVR Nvr Inc
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION Waste Management
PESI Perma-Fix Environ Svc
MEDIA Advertising Services
DGIT Digital Generation Syst
IPG Interpublic Gr Of Cos
OMC Omnicom Group Inc
MEDIA Broadcasting - Radio
ROIA Radio One Inc
MEDIA Broadcasting - TV
CBS.A CBS Corp Class A
MEDIA CATV Systems
BSY British Sky Broadcstg Gp
CMCSK Comcast Corp Cl A Spcl
CVC Cablevision Systems Cl A
METALS & MINING Gold
ANV Allied Nevada Gold Corp
BVN Compania De Minas Buena
DROOY DRD Gold Ltd Adr
METALS & MINING Industrial Metals & Minerals
ALTI Altair Nanotechnologies Inc
AZK Aurizon Mines Ltd
DNN Denison Mines CP
METALS & MINING Nonmetallic Mineral Mining
AHGP Alliance Holdings GP LP
TGE TGC Industries Inc
METALS & MINING Silver
CDE Coeur D'alene Mines Corp
EXK Endeavour Silver Corp
SLW Silver Wheaton Corp
METALS & MINING Steel & Iron
CMC Commercial Metals Co
GGB Gerdau Sa Ads
NUE Nucor Corp
REAL ESTATE Mortgage Investment
HTS Hatteras Financial Corp
REAL ESTATE Property Management/Developmen
BPO Brookfield Properties
EJ E-House China Holdings Limited
FRG Fronteer Development Group
REAL ESTATE REIT - Diversified/Industrial
AHT Ashford Hospitality Tr Inc
AMB Amb Property Corp
CLP Colonial Properties Tr
CUZ Cousins Properties Inc
REAL ESTATE REIT - Healthcare Facilities
HCP Health Care Prop Inv Inc
HR Healthcare Realty Trust
MPW Medical Properties Trust
REAL ESTATE REIT - Hotel/Motel
BEE Strategic Hotels & resorts Inc
HOT Starwood Hotel&Resort Ww
HST Host Hotels & Resorts
REAL ESTATE REIT - Office
ARE Alexandria Real Est Eqts
BXP Boston Properties Inc
CRO CRT Properties Inc
REAL ESTATE REIT - Residential
ACC American Campus Communities
AEC Associated Estates Realty
AIV Apartment Invest & Mgmt
REAL ESTATE REIT - Retail
SKT Tanger Factory Outlet
SPG Simon Property Group
YSI U-store-it Trust
RETAIL Auto Parts Stores
PBY Pep Boys Manny Moe&Jack
PRTS U.S. Auto Parts Network
RETAIL Department Stores
SHLD Sears Holding Corp
RETAIL Discount
FDO Family Dollar Stores Inc
RETAIL Drug Stores
OCR Omnicare Inc
RETAIL Grocery Stores
DEG Etablissements Delhaize Freres
IMKTA Ingles Markets Inc Cl A
KR Kroger Company
SPECIALTY RETAIL Sporting Goods Stores
BGFV Big 5 Sporting Goods Corp
TELECOMMUNICATIONS Communication Equipment
ACTG Acacia Research Acacia Tech
ARRS Arris Group Inc
CMTL Comtech Telecommun Corp
TELECOMMUNICATIONS Diversified Communication Serv
LUK Leucadia National Corp
OTT Otelco Inc
PAET Paetec Corp
TRANSPORTATION Air Delivery & Freight Service
ATSG Air Transport Services
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide
FDX Fedex Corp
PACR Pacer International Inc
TRANSPORTATION Air Services
PHII Petroleum Helicopter Vtg
TRANSPORTATION Major Airlines
AMR Amr Corporation
CAL Continental Airlines B
DAL Delta Air Lines Inc
TRANSPORTATION Railroads
CNI Canadian Natl Railway
GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc
KSU Kansas City Southern
TRANSPORTATION Shipping
ACLI American Commercial Lines Inc
ALEX Alexander & Baldwin Inc
DRYS Dryships
TRANSPORTATION Trucking
HTLD Heartland Express Inc
UTILITIES Diversified Utilities
EXC Exelon Corporation
NI Nisource Inc
NVE Nv Energy Inc
UTILITIES Electric Utilities
AEP American Electric Power
AES Aes Corporation
BKH Black Hills Corp
UTILITIES Foreign Utilities
CIG Companhia Energetica Mines
EOC Empresa Nac Elec Chile
HNP Huaneng Power Intl Inc
UTILITIES Gas Utilities
ATO Atmos Energy Corp
EGN Energen Corp
EPB El Paso Pipeline Partners
NFG National Fuel Gas Co
---------------------------------------------
NEGATIVE VRs
---------------------------------------------
XXX CANADIAN STOCKS XXX Canadian Stocks
GIB.A CGI GROUP INC CL A SU CL A
MLG MALAGA INC
---------------------------------------------
BANKING Regional - Mid-Atlantic Banks
FBNC First Bancorp Nc
GFLB Great Florida Bnk Cl A
NKSH National Bankshares Inc
BANKING Regional - Midwest Banks
ASBC Associated Banc-corp
MCBF Monarch Community Bancorp Inc
THFF First Financial Corp In
BANKING Regional - Northeast Banks
CCBP Comm Bancorp Inc
HIFS Hingham Institution Sav
MBVT Merchants Bancshares Inc
BANKING Regional - Pacific Banks
CVBF Cvb Financial Corp
HEOP Heritage Oaks Bancorp
UMPQ Umpqua Holdings Corp
BANKING Regional - Southeast Banks
BXS Bancorpsouth Inc
EVBS Easternnklin Bank N.a.
GRNB Green Bankshares Inc
BANKING Savings & Loans
ABBC Abington Community Bancorp Inc
FBSI First Bancshares Inc Mo
PSBH Psb Hldgs Inc
COMPUTER HARDWARE Computer Peripherals
PANL Universal Display Corp
COMPUTER HARDWARE Data Storage Devices
OVRL Overland Storage Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES Application Software
GUID Guidance Software Inc
PVSW Pervasive Software Inc
WZE Wizzard Software Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES Business Software & Services
COGT Cogent Systems
SONS Sonus Networks Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES Business Equipment
EFOI Energy Focus Inc
CONSUMER DURABLES Sporting Goods
HED Head Nv
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES Textile - Apparel Footwear & A
CROX Crocs Inc
KSWS K-Swiss Inc Cl A
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES Business/Management Services
BIDZ Bidz.com Inc
JRJC China Finance Online Co Ltd
TSTF Teamstaff Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES Consumer Services
MNRO Monro Muffler Brake Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES Staffing & Outsourcing Service
SRT Startek Inc
TBI TrueBlue` Inc.
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES Technical Services
VSEC Vse Corp
DRUGS Biotechnology
CRXX CombinatoRx Inc
EXAS Exact Sciences
IDRA Idera Pharmaceuticals Inc
ELECTRONICS Scientific & Technical Instrum
ALOG Analogic Corp
BRKR Bruker Biosciences Corp
ELSE Electro-Sensors Inc
ELECTRONICS Semiconductor - Specialized
LOGC Logic Devices Inc
ENERGY Independent Oil & Gas
BRN Barnwell Industries Inc
ISRL Isramco Inc
ENERGY Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
EXLP Exterran Partners Lp
FINANCIAL SERVICES Closed End Fund - Debt
AKP Alliance Ca Muni Incm Fd Inc
EOE Eaton Vance Credit Opportuniti
EVV Eaton Vance Ltd Duration Inc F
FINANCIAL SERVICES Closed End Fund - Equity
DRR Market Vectors Dbl Short Euro
GUT Gabelli Utility Trust
LSC ELEMENTS S&P CTI ETN
REC Rydex Inverse 2x S&P Select Se
FINANCIAL SERVICES Credit Services
LOAN Dag Media Inc
PLUS Eplus Incorporated
FINANCIAL SERVICES Diversified Investments
UBNK United Financial Bancorp Inc
FOOD & BEVERAGE Farm Products
CVGW Calavo Growers Inc
FOOD & BEVERAGE Processed & Packaged Goods
JMBA Jamba Inc
HEALTH SERVICES Long-Term Care Facilities
SRZ Sunrise Senior Living Inc
HEALTH SERVICES Medical Appliances & Equipment
CLSN Celsion Corp
WMGI Wright Medical
HEALTH SERVICES Medical Laboratories & Researc
NADX National Dentex Corp
PPDI Pharmaceutical Prod Dev
HEALTH SERVICES Specialized Health Services
ASGR America Service Group
INSURANCE Accident & Health Insurance
AMSF Amerisafe Inc
INSURANCE Insurance Brokers
BRO Brown & Brown
INSURANCE Property & Casualty Insurance
AFF American International Group I
AIG American Internat Group
HMN Horace Mann Educators Cp
MEDIA Broadcasting - TV
TVL Lin Tv Corp
MEDIA Publishing - Periodicals/News
DM Dolan Media Company
JRN Journal Communications
REAL ESTATE REIT - Diversified/Industrial
CDR Cedar Shopping Centers Inc
REAL ESTATE REIT - Hotel/Motel
IHT Innsuites Hospitality Tr
REAL ESTATE REIT - Residential
DX Dynex Capital Inc
RETAIL Grocery Stores
SUSS Susser Hldgs
RETAIL Home Furnishing Stores
JEN Jennifer Convertibles Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL Specialty Retail
PERF Perfumania Hlds Inc
PETM Petsmart Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS Communication Equipment
ENWV Endwave Corporation
LORL Loral Space & Communications I
NMRX Numerex Corp Cl A Pa
TELECOMMUNICATIONS Processing Systems & Products
BDR Blonder Tongue Labs
EDCI Entertainment Distribution Co
TELECOMMUNICATIONS Telecom Services - Foreign
BT British Telecommun Plc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS Wireless Communications
TPC SunCom Wireless Holdings Inc
UTILITIES Diversified Utilities
HTM US Geothermal Inc
UTILITIES Gas Utilities
CPK Chesapeake Utilities Cp
LG Laclede Gas Co
UTILITIES Water Utilities
YORW York Water Corp
WHOLESALE Auto Parts Wholesale
KAR Adesa Inc
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