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Observing muy closely


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#1 senorBS

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Posted 29 April 2010 - 10:20 AM

dos day's in a row that XAU has reversed lower from new highs, a close below yesterday's close is a warning in Senor's opinion, if not norte we go. PURE BS Senor

#2 Tor

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Posted 29 April 2010 - 11:07 AM

dos day's in a row that XAU has reversed lower from new highs, a close below yesterday's close is a warning in Senor's opinion, if not norte we go.

PURE BS

Senor



Makes sense:

http://www.traders-t...howtopic=118668

Lets see!
Observer

The future is 90% present and 10% vision.

#3 dougie

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Posted 29 April 2010 - 11:40 AM

http://stockcharts.c...amp;a=194609011

just does not seem like the structure to launch from, BWDIK?

#4 stubaby

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Posted 29 April 2010 - 01:45 PM

http://stockcharts.c...amp;a=194609011

just does not seem like the structure to launch from, BWDIK?



Dougie:

Nice Chart! Again took liberty to extend range back to Dec 09 highs - changed to daily so I could add in price of Gold.


gdx.png

Conclusions - much more "bullish" look - Gold price will be ultimate driver of GDX price - GDX/GLD Ratio breakout is bullish (note recent earnings in majors) - pullback into 47.32-49.11 Range would be normal (I see only slightly below 49 here FWIW)

I will be adding to relative strength leaders on any pullback.


stubaby


Note: If GLD/SLV ratio breaks trendline - that will be "short-term" liftoff point
gld_slv_ratio.png

Gold_Silver_Ratio.png

#5 Ken

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Posted 30 April 2010 - 09:11 AM

Long term and intermediate term I'm bullish on gold and pm equities but am I the only one who is expecting a short term pullback any day now in the mining stocks? I'm only talking about a pullback for a few days but it does seem to me the pm equities are overbought on a short-term basis and are in need of a slight breather soon. In addition, we're in the 5th week of a major cycle (5 to 7 weeks) so it would seem to me the pm equities would peak right about here and then begin a small decline before moving up again in the next major cycle.

#6 dougie

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Posted 30 April 2010 - 01:00 PM

yes i agree: question is, 'Do I feel lucky?' Well, do ya punk?

#7 johngeorge

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Posted 30 April 2010 - 01:00 PM

Long term and intermediate term I'm bullish on gold and pm equities but am I the only one who is expecting a short term pullback any day now in the mining stocks? I'm only talking about a pullback for a few days but it does seem to me the pm equities are overbought on a short-term basis and are in need of a slight breather soon.

In addition, we're in the 5th week of a major cycle (5 to 7 weeks) so it would seem to me the pm equities would peak right about here and then begin a small decline before moving up again in the next major cycle.


Ken

I got a short term sell signal for PM equities on my hourly chart early April 27th and it remains on a sell at this time. Took a small profit.
Peace
johngeorge

#8 dharma

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Posted 30 April 2010 - 02:01 PM

when everyone here starts worrying about missing the trend , instead of the next little correction, then i will know its about time to look somewhere else the trend is your friend gold closing @monthly, weekly, and daily highs dharma

Edited by dharma, 30 April 2010 - 02:09 PM.


#9 dougie

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Posted 30 April 2010 - 02:04 PM

slv looking like it is near targets:
http://3.bp.blogspot...I/s1600/slv.png

#10 senorBS

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Posted 30 April 2010 - 07:56 PM

http://stockcharts.c...amp;a=194609011

just does not seem like the structure to launch from, BWDIK?


we agree, I am not bearish, just muy cautious, Monday is THE day for me in gold, I think we know after Monday's close where it's going for next $100 or more.

BSing away

Senor