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Is NAAIM survey spelling a Bad News?


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#1 Harapa

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Posted 04 December 2013 - 08:32 AM

Last average >100%, Bearish camp 50% long, Bullish camp 163% long.
Is it a bad news for the bulls? This analysis/analyst doesn't think so.
NAAIM Survey AnalysisPosted Image

Edited by Harapa, 04 December 2013 - 08:33 AM.

My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. All posted trades are fake (aka. paper) trades.


#2 OEXCHAOS

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    Mark S. Young

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Posted 04 December 2013 - 03:02 PM

At first glance, it was hard for me to pick out the signal in the data. I did, however. The key is to look for BIG shifts Bullish from the most Bearish, and to 20% or more long. That's Bearish. The last 5 signals have delivered immediately, though, only a couple immediately delivered more serious weakness. The data, though, doesn't suggest much on an intermediate-term basis.

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#3 Harapa

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Posted 04 December 2013 - 03:29 PM

At first glance, it was hard for me to pick out the signal in the data. I did, however.
The key is to look for BIG shifts Bullish from the most Bearish, and to 20% or more long.
That's Bearish. The last 5 signals have delivered immediately, though, only a couple immediately delivered more serious weakness.
The data, though, doesn't suggest much on an intermediate-term basis.

Thanks for your comments.
I just became aware of this survey recently, so plan is to use as a confirmation tool for some time. And that is how I have marked the trades (my primary setup shown at the bottom is "Models Composite")
I use short term setups to gate my IT/LT trades, so my analysis tend to focus on finding ways to position ahead of a major change. I think this is a useful add on to my tool box.

My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. All posted trades are fake (aka. paper) trades.


#4 OEXCHAOS

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    Mark S. Young

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Posted 04 December 2013 - 07:47 PM

See my white paper pinned at top.

Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
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http://wallstreetsen...t.com/trial.htm
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