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to me it looks like a bottom comes in around the 21 of nov


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#1 gannman

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Posted 12 November 2016 - 02:43 AM

fwiw which is what russ was saying all along congrats 


feeling mellow with the yellow metal


#2 SemiBizz

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Posted 12 November 2016 - 08:08 AM

12/2

 

Gann Turn...

 

There's your bottom.


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#3 Smithy

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Posted 12 November 2016 - 08:55 AM

As of  today Sat Nov 12th, I'll throw my hat in the ring. Gold will rise after Mon 14th/Tues 15th, although I can't tell if it is the bottom. The subsequent lows (Dec 2nd, late Dec and Feb-ish) may be higher or lower. Gold is currently 1226. If Hadik is right, those lows will be higher.

 

The very worst case for this correction is not below $1130 around Feb. I can't see it because the present surge in interest rates reflects incipient inflation. 


Edited by Smithy, 12 November 2016 - 09:03 AM.


#4 Smithy

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Posted 12 November 2016 - 10:37 AM

257n4ms.jpg


Edited by Smithy, 12 November 2016 - 10:38 AM.


#5 gannman

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Posted 12 November 2016 - 03:03 PM

ha ha


feeling mellow with the yellow metal


#6 Russ

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Posted 13 November 2016 - 01:33 PM

Still on track for XAU to bottom between Nov. 21 and the 28th, it could go down into the 12/2 as Semibizz suggested though, but the oscillator is pointing more towards the 21-28th.

 

The dollar index may have a huge rally as Armstrong has been saying for a long time,  the catalyst would be Trump lowering the taxes and 3 Trillion dollars coming back to the USA. Gold would have a very hard time resisting that wind, so late Nov. does not seem like enough time for that to be the final low?   For now there should be good buy soon.


Edited by Russ, 13 November 2016 - 01:37 PM.

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#7 gannman

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Posted 13 November 2016 - 01:37 PM

thanks and congrats on a nice call


feeling mellow with the yellow metal


#8 Russ

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Posted 13 November 2016 - 02:18 PM

thanks and congrats on a nice call

You're welcome, you do some good work too.


"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
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#9 SilentOne

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Posted 13 November 2016 - 05:20 PM

Hi Russ,

 

I see the potential for that week for a low. My preferred Sentient analysis has been pointing to this timeframe based on the work I did for this webinar.

 

It would mean a contracted cycle for the gold miners (11 months vs 14 months that I follow), and a 48 week cycle low for gold.

 

This would get both the metal and the miners in sync with synchronized lows, something that did not occur with the lows of gold (Dec. 2015) and the miners (USD based occurred late Jan. 2016). TWT. COTs will be very interesting on the release for Monday (week of Nov. 11th) and Friday.   

 

 

cheers,

john


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#10 Russ

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Posted 13 November 2016 - 07:38 PM

Hi John,  Looks good.  Last January's low was actually a no-brainer looking at the gold stock internals...

 

Cheers

Russ

 


"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong



http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/