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Fearless Forecast Time ... Bottoms this week or Monday.


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#1 Dex

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Posted 18 March 2020 - 02:23 PM

The bond market is smarter then the stock market - 10 year at 1.3%

 

The stock market has priced in the end of the world.  The last shoe to drop will be stopping domestic air travel but that won't be a surprise.   While infections and deaths will rise I think people understand what is going on.

 

Crazy down action ... REM - real estate down 35% today.  I bought 20% of the position I want.

 

Watch the news cycle.  They will burn out on the story soon.

 

Remember this 'Watch the Sky'

 

 


"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
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#2 Bernie

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Posted 18 March 2020 - 02:46 PM

new moon



#3 Dex

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Posted 18 March 2020 - 03:05 PM

new moon

You had me worried.  That is next week.

 

https://www.space.co...oon-phases.html


"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
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#4 12SPX

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Posted 18 March 2020 - 08:17 PM

The bond market is smarter then the stock market - 10 year at 1.3%

 

The stock market has priced in the end of the world.  The last shoe to drop will be stopping domestic air travel but that won't be a surprise.   While infections and deaths will rise I think people understand what is going on.

 

Crazy down action ... REM - real estate down 35% today.  I bought 20% of the position I want.

 

Watch the news cycle.  They will burn out on the story soon.

 

Remember this 'Watch the Sky'

 

 

The only thing I will say about watch the sky is that the earth is now way further away from the sky then it was a month ago so yes it may get closer but when you say "watch the sky" make sure you say it with a humble voice......



#5 Dex

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Posted 19 March 2020 - 12:36 PM

 

The bond market is smarter then the stock market - 10 year at 1.3%

 

The stock market has priced in the end of the world.  The last shoe to drop will be stopping domestic air travel but that won't be a surprise.   While infections and deaths will rise I think people understand what is going on.

 

Crazy down action ... REM - real estate down 35% today.  I bought 20% of the position I want.

 

Watch the news cycle.  They will burn out on the story soon.

 

Remember this 'Watch the Sky'

 

 

The only thing I will say about watch the sky is that the earth is now way further away from the sky then it was a month ago so yes it may get closer but when you say "watch the sky" make sure you say it with a humble voice......

 

 

The sky has stopped falling.


"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
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#6 Dex

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Posted 19 March 2020 - 12:37 PM

Thurs - This is the bounce.

 

Friday - down


"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
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#7 Ticker

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Posted 19 March 2020 - 01:30 PM

S&P 2140 next stop

#8 gm_general

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Posted 19 March 2020 - 10:36 PM

Drop is 21 days old, 5 high numbers left in the 26 EMAs, then these start to drop quickly. This should put upward pressure on the MACD, I will be interested to see if this helps things. I have seen with these MACD trends its also about what numbers are falling off the averages, it seems to influence where the index can go next.



#9 Dex

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Posted 21 March 2020 - 06:13 PM

Posting before Sun. Futures ...

 

Monday ... 3/23 down in the morning.  This could be the capitulation day.  Closes off the lows if it is capitulation.  If it isn't capitulation then up.


Edited by Dex, 21 March 2020 - 06:14 PM.

"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
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#10 Waver

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Posted 23 March 2020 - 06:56 AM

Dex

Closes off the lows if it is capitulation. If it isn't capitulation then up.

Both scenarios is up?