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THE 2020 BUBBLE: Buy the dips, sell the rips, watch your back ....


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#1 dTraderB

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 05:42 PM

Like any other of the historic bubbles, you trade this one the same way: buy the dip, sell the rip, re-enter, hedge, get ready to exit ASAP.

You can whine about the FED etc but TRADE THE MARKET AS IT IS, or get out! So many people complain about the market; but, if you are trading then you must trade the market as it is or just don't!

My method is the same as it was in 20072009... and all the mini bubbles and the major melt-ups since then: ST big size position, 

hedge PUTS, deep in the money PUTS at least two expiration periods away. roll the PUTS or close with a loss, and wait for the BIG SELL. Or, trade ST  and VST

 

end of day status:

1 NQ LONG hedge - may buy another one at lower levels
 

29 QQQ PUTS   - did a bit of day trading in this

19 SPY PUTS

 

2100 XLF LONG in LT  Portfolio - keeping this for a while but will close anytime appropriate. 

 

NORTHMAN TRADER: 
How to navigate through our new nationalized markets? Buy the dips, sell the rips and watch your back as we’re witnessing a historic asset bubble that could pop at any time or take on ever more extreme proportions as nothing and nobody is stopping central banks from continuing to inject liquidity into the system.

But tech is increasingly dangerous and the bifurcation in market performances getting ever more apparent, a point I highlighted this morning on CNBC

https://northmantrad.../06/the-bubble/



#2 Dex

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 06:56 PM

"But tech is increasingly dangerous and the bifurcation in market performances getting ever more apparent, a point I highlighted this morning on CNBC"

 

Truth - this is the future.

 

Equal weight is about 30% tech so that even hides what is happening

 


"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
17_16


#3 dTraderB

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 08:17 PM


 
 
They are tranquilizing the bears.
Quote Tweet
 
9Cv09OjV_normal.jpg
 
 
KMOV
 
@KMOV
· 5h
Bruno the Bear tranquilized in St. Charles County, moved from area https://kmov.com/news/bruno-the-bear-tranquilized-in-st-charles-county-moved-from-area/article_fcdd7d2c-bfbb-11ea-92f2-dbf6b57346a8.html?utm_campaign=snd-autopilot

 

 

Edited by dTraderB, 06 July 2020 - 08:19 PM.


#4 dTraderB

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 08:20 PM

·
 

1h

Not since early 2000 have I seen such confident non rigorous market views.

 

 
Welcome to 1999. Am I correct that $AYRO traded 228 million shares and has a float under two million shares?


#5 dTraderB

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 08:21 PM

We are at the point that aggressive traders are scoffing at fundamental analysis and risk control embraced by the notion of margin of safety. Circa early 2000... But pride goeth before fall and history rhymes. Moreover, risk happens fast - ten cuidado!
12:54 PM · Jul 6, 2020·Twitter for iPad
We are at the point that aggressive traders are scoffing at fundamental analysis and risk control embraced by the notion of margin of safety. Circa early 2000... But pride goeth before fall and history rhymes. Moreover, risk happens fast - ten cuidado!
12:54 PM · Jul 6, 2020·Twitter for iPad


#6 dTraderB

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 08:31 PM

Be patient, bears, what's left of that specie!
SPX 3190/3220 is the huge resistance zone; if it breaks above that then buy as much as you can
 

"There is no S&P index anymore. It's just a few names." takes to the charts to explain the market's major bifurcation.


#7 dTraderB

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 08:35 PM

Maybe another few minutes trading until 9:45 and then place an NQ buy limit below 10560

 

#China politburo stokes a stock-market mania, risking repeat of 2015 bubble. Beijing says bull market is now more important than ever. CSI 300 is most overheated since 2014 after gains accelerate. Brokerages surge as daily turnover tops 1.5 trillion yuan. https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-06/china-state-media-stoke-world-beating-rally-in-nation-s-shares?sref=61mHmpU4


#8 dTraderB

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 08:39 PM

McClellanOsc_830.gif



#9 dTraderB

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 08:40 PM

Not much Greed nor Fear:

https://money.cnn.co...fear-and-greed/



#10 dTraderB

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Posted 06 July 2020 - 08:42 PM

Put/Call ratio's 2 month average is insanely high. Few days in the past 20 years reached this level. The last time this happened was before stocks crashed in Feb 2020. Before that, this usually led to pullbacks and corrections in the stock market.