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we either have a wave 1 of a new bull market or more backing and filling


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#291 Smithy

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 08:22 AM

From the NYT this morning,

 

"The U.S. will increase its military presence in the Philippines, strengthening the Southeast Asian country’s role as a strategic partner in the event of a conflict with China."

----------------

Another step - both the US and China are actively preparing for war.



#292 Smithy

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:00 AM

I'm a little nervous about this potential key reversal pattern - expanding triangle.

 

It can also be continuation.

 

2-2-23-KRP.jpg


Edited by Smithy, 02 February 2023 - 09:01 AM.


#293 Smithy

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:15 AM

In being a gold bull I first look to see if the fundamentals are bullish, then I look at the charts, 

 

The strongest correlation to the gold price is the M2 money supply. If it continues to shrink it will bite gold in the derriere. I'll go so far as to say it is just a question of when.

 

6-22-22-US-20-yrs-M2.jpg



#294 Smithy

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:21 AM

It's been a  long wait, watching for the velocity of money to turn up. It is a prerequisite for a long term gold bull. We'll see if it overrides the influence of the contracting M2

 

2-2-23-vel.jpg



#295 linrom1

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:40 AM

Perhaps way overdue WAVE 4?



#296 Smithy

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:50 AM

The midpoint of the spot gold KRP pattern is 1930, and is the make or break.  Bullish above, bearish beneath.



#297 linrom1

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:50 AM

The overwhelming view is that GOLD is going over $2,000 and SILVER bulls are--yet again- coming out their stupor to claim that SI is going to the moon. Whatever?



#298 linrom1

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:51 AM

Maybe we got something else other than stampede to buy every dip?


Edited by linrom1, 02 February 2023 - 09:53 AM.


#299 Smithy

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:56 AM

2-2-23-wonky-H-S.jpg



#300 Russ

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 10:50 AM

H&S on XAU,  big reversal on gold and silver,  top is in. Euro hit it's long term down trend line. 

 


Edited by Russ, 02 February 2023 - 10:53 AM.

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