Jump to content



Photo

Yield Curve, Unemployment, and Sunspots


  • Please log in to reply
3 replies to this topic

#1 dTraderB

dTraderB

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 19,858 posts

Posted 28 August 2024 - 05:54 PM

Quite interesting:

"...If you have enjoyed this most recent yield curve inversion, then you can look forward to having an inversion again in around 2034, which is 11 years after the 2023 extreme point for this current yield curve inversion. But for the next few years, you can look forward to short term rates being in their more normal position, i.e. lower than long term rates. And you can also expect that a weaker economy will be the reason for that.

Tom McClellan
Editor, The McClellan Market Report

https://www.mcoscill...t_and_sunspots/

www.mcoscillator.com

#2 andr99

andr99

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,579 posts

Posted 29 August 2024 - 03:33 AM

in the meanwhile, I'm long


forever and only a V-E-N-E-T-K-E-N - langbard


#3 redfoliage2

redfoliage2

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 18,542 posts

Posted 03 September 2024 - 09:58 AM

From here to the Fed meeting day the market is likely data dependent.  For tomorrow we are going to have JOLTs job opening and the Fed Beige book; Thursday ADP Nonfarm Employment Change, and Friday NFP ...........................



#4 redfoliage2

redfoliage2

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 18,542 posts

Posted 03 September 2024 - 01:03 PM

Now the market is in extremely over-sold conditions and I see a bounce is in the cards for tomorrow if the JOLTs job data not as bad as feard ...........................


Edited by redfoliage2, 03 September 2024 - 01:05 PM.