8 replies to this topic

[S.I.M.O.N.]

Hope i'm not stealing Frac man's thunder here, but his 1965-66 correlation to the current runup is very uncanny. Here are the dates for the tops/bottoms in 1965-66 to 2006-07 1965-66 2006-07 5/14/65 T 5/09/06 T 6/28/65 B 6/13/06 B 7/22/65 B 7/14/06 B 11/04/65 T 10/26/06 T 11/10/65 B 11/03/06 B 12/6/65 B 11/29/06 B 1/18/66 T 1/10/07 T Jan WWW ???? 2/1/66 B 1/24/07 B Jan opex ???? 2/09/67T retest 2/2/07 T retest ???? 3/14/67 B 5/17/67 B 8/29/67 B 10/07/66 Major Bottom Adjusting for a 5-8 day calender phase shift, the dates line up very well, so if the correlation is to continue, i would expect the current rally to continue into jan's WWW and then a tank job into opex, a retest around early feb and that's all she wrote, down into the scary depths of OCT 2007. Looks like the plan unless it ain't... Early buy signal here, so i'm covering my dow short for some lunch money..lol

Edited by pnfwave, 21 December 2006 - 11:10 AM.

[Frac_Man]

What is WWW ?

:-)

Hank

thanks


yes the Dow 30 reached my target of near 12500, and the RUT has finished a 2nd Iteration

Monthly trend is down as far as I can see

Hope i'm not stealing Frac man's thunder here, but his 1965-66 correlation to the current runup is very uncanny.
Here are the dates for the tops/bottoms in 1965-66 to 2006-07
1965-66 2006-07
5/14/65 T 5/09/06 T
6/28/65 B 6/13/06 B
7/22/65 B 7/14/06 B
11/04/65 T 10/26/06 T
11/10/65 B 11/03/06 B
12/6/65 B 11/29/06 B
1/18/66 T 1/10/07 T Jan WWW ????
2/1/66 B 1/24/07 B Jan opex ????
2/09/67T retest 2/2/07 T retest ????
3/14/67 B
5/17/67 B
8/29/67 B
10/07/66 Major Bottom

Adjusting for a 5-8 day calender phase shift, the dates line up very well, so if the correlation is to continue,
i would expect the current rally to continue into jan's WWW and then a tank job into opex, a retest around early feb and that's all she wrote, down into the scary depths of OCT 2007.
Looks like the plan unless it ain't...

Early buy signal here, so i'm covering my dow short for some lunch money..lol

[S.I.M.O.N.]

WWW = wierd wollie weds, the weds before options expiration.

[spielchekr]

I see the idea is beginning to sink in.

Edited by spielchekr, 21 December 2006 - 11:38 AM.

[S.I.M.O.N.]

I see the idea is beginning to sink in.

oops, i missed that post :Light:

[dcengr]

Just remember... it can always end up like this too...

[vulture]

For kicks, I went over to MRCI to look at these analogs. A few others of note: 1997 1994 1937 1929 and obviously the most talked about have been 1946 and 1966. Almost all of the others peaked out around the first of February (temporarily).

Edited by vulture, 21 December 2006 - 12:00 PM.

[dcengr]

For kicks, I went over to MRCI to look at these analogs. A few others of note:

1997
1994
1937
1929

and obviously the most talked about have been 1946 and 1966.

Almost all of the others peaked out around the first of February (temporarily).

Yes I got those in my correlation file too.

[Frac_Man]

Thanks, I couldn't find it in the dictionary

:-)


Hank

WWW = wierd wollie weds, the weds before options expiration.