Jump to content



Photo

What about the carry trade?


  • Please log in to reply
7 replies to this topic

#1 Shazzam

Shazzam

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 258 posts

Posted 21 March 2007 - 02:31 PM

Fed lowers rates which hurts dollar and yen rallies. What do all the folks who have the carry trade on eventually do? I think this rally is being led by momo guys and will end badly. Thoughts?

#2 Jnavin

Jnavin

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 2,126 posts

Posted 21 March 2007 - 02:55 PM

Yes, it's momo guys. Note though that the Fed has not cut rates -- all that's happened today is a psychological operation designed to give that impression.

#3 ed rader

ed rader

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,390 posts

Posted 21 March 2007 - 03:42 PM

Yes, it's momo guys.
Note though that the Fed has not cut rates -- all that's happened today is a psychological operation designed to give that impression.



sounds like the fed is saying that they may need to raise rates but they are kinda sorta adopting an easing bias. that's a good reason to rally :D .

ed rader

"Everybody's got plans... until they get hit."

-- Mike Tyson

http://erader.zenfolio.com/

#4 fib_1618

fib_1618

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 10,145 posts

Posted 21 March 2007 - 03:44 PM

Note though that the Fed has not cut rates...

Question...how many equity price advances have there been with the FED lowering rates over the last 80 years?

...all that's happened today is a psychological operation designed to give that impression

Question...wouldn't it be more correct to say that this same operation took place over the last 3 weeks?

Fib

Edited by fib_1618, 21 March 2007 - 03:45 PM.

Better to ignore me than abhor me.

“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin

 

"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw

 

Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.

Technical Watch Subscriptions



 


#5 Jnavin

Jnavin

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 2,126 posts

Posted 21 March 2007 - 03:53 PM

FOMC statement, revised for reality.

#6 fib_1618

fib_1618

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 10,145 posts

Posted 21 March 2007 - 03:57 PM

FOMC statement, revised for reality.

Quite a nice wall of worry we have here, wouldn't you agree?

Fib

Better to ignore me than abhor me.

“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin

 

"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw

 

Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.

Technical Watch Subscriptions



 


#7 spielchekr

spielchekr

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 3,104 posts

Posted 21 March 2007 - 04:06 PM

How bad do you REALLY want it to look? :D

FOMC statement, revised for reality.

Quite a nice wall of worry we have here, wouldn't you agree?

Fib



#8 Jnavin

Jnavin

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 2,126 posts

Posted 21 March 2007 - 07:54 PM

FOMC statement, revised for reality.

Quite a nice wall of worry we have here, wouldn't you agree?

Fib


I don't know, Fib. Maybe. I'm a bull -- think we'll close the year higher.
But today's action smells, that's all...it's not a clean shot.