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Looks like Nav and Fracman are right. 82% chance of decline

Started by wallofworry , Apr 10 2007 01:12 AM

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6 replies to this topic

#1 wallofworry

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Posted 10 April 2007 - 01:12 AM

can be seen at Burke on Safe haven. We are in the strongest month but the WEAKEST WEEK of that month and the WEAKEST day of that week ! Look ouut below :bear:

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#2 arbman

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Posted 10 April 2007 - 05:54 AM

I am getting 67% for SPX and 79% for NDX too... Average downside is usually around 0.6% for SPX and 1.4% for NDX...

@qckisa on twitter

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#3 fib_1618

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Posted 10 April 2007 - 05:57 AM

We are in the strongest month but the WEAKEST WEEK of that month and the WEAKEST day of that week !

Following this logic then, wouldn't it be a great time to accumulate stock with both hands being that Tuesday would be the bottom for April?

Fib

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#4 jjc

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Posted 10 April 2007 - 06:05 AM

I am getting 67% for SPX and 79% for NDX too...

Average downside is usually around 0.6% for SPX and 1.4% for NDX...

Kisa,
What are the factors considered in your forecast?
Thanks
jjc

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#5 gorydog

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Posted 10 April 2007 - 06:44 AM

We are in the strongest month but the WEAKEST WEEK of that month and the WEAKEST day of that week !
Following this logic then, wouldn't it be a great time to accumulate stock with both hands being that Tuesday would be the bottom for April?

Fib

You mean buy low, sell high? Radical, but it might just work

GD

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#6 arbman

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Posted 10 April 2007 - 08:30 AM

Statistical momentum comparisons, I used this system before I used the cycles. It compares starting from the longest running matches, then iteratively narrows down to the shortest. The longest time frame is about 20 wks.

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