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SPY P/C ratio


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#1 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 11 April 2007 - 07:20 AM

I've attached the chart of the Nominal and $-weighted SPY P/C. SPY_PC4_10_07.gif Normally, such a high reading is Bullish, but not always. I note that the IWM P/C's are very high too. That's correlated with good moves, alas, it's hard to know which way. I suspect that this WWW will actually BE weird.

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#2 Cirrus

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Posted 11 April 2007 - 08:53 AM

The OEX P/C spike typically leads to a selloff. The OEX MA's aren't yet in very high probability IT sell territory but they are getting close. Another P/C daily spike could do it--say an OEX P/C above 3 again. Again, this indicator has been the most reliable indicator out there.

#3 arbman

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Posted 11 April 2007 - 08:55 AM

You know I have the most shorts in the RUT options, I guess I represent the dumb money here... <_< I am buying also back the OIH and SMH options for the hedge. HHH looks like a diamond reversal intraday now...

#4 arbman

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Posted 11 April 2007 - 09:25 AM

I gave up on the hedging idea, it is dropping too fast... ... for now riding the trend lower. Keeping it simple, looking for the lower trendlines from connecting the lows...