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An $SPX comparative action: 6/7/2002 & 10/15/1989


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#1 spielchekr

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Posted 07 June 2007 - 10:51 PM

I filtered for these three criteria occuring on the same day~

open <= 0.002% above 20ma;
close <= 0.002% above bottom Bollinger band;
20ma slope turned negative (price closed below the close of 20 sessions ago).

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I found no real consistency or common occurances of this condition. But I did a little double-take when I spotted its appearance at similar places in both of these crash-to-new-recovery-high formations:

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Of course, the time scale is being compressed something like 1:6 there (price is compressed too). Here's what price did after that point in '89:



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"If" we followed this course and "if" the time compression is 1:6, the "final" bottom would be found sometime in mid-August perhaps (just a rough mental-math guess).

Edited by spielchekr, 07 June 2007 - 10:51 PM.


#2 spielchekr

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Posted 08 June 2007 - 04:32 AM

oops... correction:

open > 20ma;
close <= 0.002% above bottom Bollinger band;
20ma slope turned negative (price closed below the close of 20 sessions ago).