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The bounce is getting long in the tooth...


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#1 NAV

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Posted 05 July 2007 - 03:30 AM

Of course i am talking about the SPX. The new recovery highs in NQ is a good thing IMO. It was itching to make new highs. Now that the mission is complete, it can join the SPX with the same gusto on the downside :D The last time i posted a bullish reversal was the exact day, NQ rallied from the 1920 low. I got bearish a bit early around NQ 1968 and got stopped out. Today i will start probing the short side again. Today has a potential for a significant CIT, based on my 120-min indicators and the expansion in sentiment against compression in price. Looking to exploit that inefficiency. The other market i am bearish and holding puts is the T-notes. Last Friday, i warned about that reversal. I am looking for 5.5-5.6% on $TNX (for the Intermediate term). P.S. The other market which is gonna get ugly in the coming days is the $BSE (Indian market).

Edited by NAV, 05 July 2007 - 03:39 AM.

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#2 NAV

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Posted 05 July 2007 - 03:43 AM

The other markets which are looking dangerously toppy are OIL/OIH/XLE on the weekly charts. But they are very difficult to short right now, given their strenght. I will wait for a break before i jump on them.

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#3 eminimee

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Posted 05 July 2007 - 03:56 AM

Same count as TNX but in reverse...

http://stockcharts.c...97686&r=672.png

#4 rkd80

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Posted 05 July 2007 - 08:54 AM

ON the same page as you Nav, energy looks toppy - but they are the leaders and defy gravity. I am looking to enter YM and ES shorts through-out the day starting now...keep us posted on your actions plz.
“be right and sit tight”

#5 NAV

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Posted 05 July 2007 - 09:18 AM

ON the same page as you Nav, energy looks toppy - but they are the leaders and defy gravity.

I am looking to enter YM and ES shorts through-out the day starting now...keep us posted on your actions plz.


rkd80,

I am a confirmation type trader. I need to see a break before i enter short. So far no break - just waiting and watching.

"It's not the knowing that is difficult, but the doing"

 

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#6 rkd80

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Posted 05 July 2007 - 12:51 PM

i hear ya nav, i still get tempted to forecast the break and jump ahead prematurely. sometimes it pays off, sometimes it does not. When i see a lot of sell signals confirm each other I am definitely more tempted. I am short: ES @ 1536 YM @ 13,650
“be right and sit tight”