6 replies to this topic

[ChickenLittle]

Airedale, After we finish with the present rally and decline into the July lows, does July 30 look good to you???? Thanks,

[da_cheif]

>decline into the July lows,<.......wadya think we just had.......

[redfoliage2]

Airedale,

After we finish with the present rally and decline into the July lows, does July 30 look good to you????

Thanks,

The time window covers next week to the end of the month.

[ChickenLittle]

That could be the July lows, it shows as a short term cycle low (maybe too early for longer term cycles), coupled with WWW, and the EW count is good into yesterday morning, but I'm looking for other viewpoints. Airedale is good at cycles and I'm always interested in his take.

[airedale88]

chickenlittle, the 4.5 yr cycle bottoms as the current 20 wk cycle bottoms. it's last low was 3/14/07. over the yrs, the nominal 20 wk cycle ran approx 98 to 112 trading days. more recently samples have run from the mid to high 90's in trading days. we're 83 trading days from the march low, 86 counting market hoildays. i expect approx 3 weeks +/- a few days before the bottom of the 20 wk cycle. we are in the 17th week of that 20 wk cycle and we are again seeing high right translation on all the larger cycles that are due to bottom. very bullish for the longer term as it indicates the sum of cycles larger than 4.5 yrs in length remains powerfully bullish.

[BearItch]

chickenlittle, the 4.5 yr cycle bottoms as the current 20 wk cycle bottoms. it's last low was 3/14/07. over the yrs, the nominal 20 wk cycle ran approx 98 to 112 trading days. more recently samples have run from the mid to high 90's in trading days.
we're 83 trading days from the march low, 86 counting market hoildays.
i expect approx 3 weeks +/- a few days before the bottom of the 20 wk cycle.
we are in the 17th week of that 20 wk cycle and we are again seeing high right translation on all the larger cycles that are due to bottom. very bullish for the longer term as it indicates the sum of cycles larger than 4.5 yrs in length remains powerfully bullish.

Aire --

Any target yet on the SPX?

Are you adding to your short position here?

[hamakua]

Air....

4 1/2 year cycle bottomed EARLY ? This guy has done a brilliant cycle analysis for some time.


http://www.safehaven...rticle-7960.htm