Jump to content



Photo

Deja-Vu 2003


  • Please log in to reply
6 replies to this topic

#1 youmast

youmast

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 2,870 posts

Posted 12 July 2007 - 12:54 PM

First time we mentioned 2003 scenario on 04/07/07

Posted Image

continue on 04/11.....

Posted Image

Top in mid June (67 day) has been predicted in Mid April....

Posted Image

Each predicted BANG day was right on truck....

Posted Image

As well as each decline....

Posted Image

Every top and every bottom were called in advance....

Posted Image

Finally we have arrived to 67th day....

Posted Image

But we continue to stick with our 2003 scenario....

Posted Image

Expected breakout on NDX.... Amazing "Double Island" this week.

Posted Image

That was our upcomming buy/sell for the week.....

Posted Image

And the latest update this morning....

Posted Image

#2 SemiBizz

SemiBizz

    Volume Dynamics Specialist

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 23,208 posts

Posted 12 July 2007 - 01:23 PM

Very interesting, I don't follow your work, but we seem to have come to similar conclusion.
Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#3 rkd80

rkd80

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,385 posts

Posted 12 July 2007 - 01:27 PM

that is some fascinating stuff. The question i have is which pattern takes over. 2003 or Decennial pattern? The 2003 pattern is one isolated event while the decennial is about 9 or 10 events combined together. one would think that statistically the decennial should take over, no? From a ST discussion however, who is to say where exactly we diverge. We could theoretically have a negative OPEX week and then ramp up into end of july. As much as I want the 03 pattern to play out due to my now large short position, its hard to ignore the more statistically heavy outcome. Thoughts?
“be right and sit tight”

#4 youmast

youmast

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 2,870 posts

Posted 12 July 2007 - 01:35 PM

Thoughts? We do have much larger pattern I follow these day. It plays perfect month to month. It shows Nasdaq double top at 3,000 in Jan'08 and Apr'08. Then... back to 2,000 later.

#5 rkd80

rkd80

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,385 posts

Posted 12 July 2007 - 01:49 PM

Thoughts? We do have much larger pattern I follow these day. It plays perfect month to month. It shows Nasdaq double top at 3,000 in Jan'08 and Apr'08. Then... back to 2,000 later.


hmm, so you suggesting we are going to escape the 7 year itch unscathed? Or is the jan08 3k nasdaq happening with a sell-off in october?
“be right and sit tight”

#6 youmast

youmast

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 2,870 posts

Posted 12 July 2007 - 01:59 PM

I answered the same
question yesterday..


Posted Image

#7 rkd80

rkd80

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,385 posts

Posted 12 July 2007 - 10:16 PM

how do your views change in light of today's action? Now that we have the breakout in S&P and action that is unlike anything else in the Qs.
“be right and sit tight”