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If DJIA Fails to Stay Above 14K by the Clsoe Today


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#11 fib_1618

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Posted 17 July 2007 - 03:32 PM

What do you think of NYMO and summations at this point. They aren't exactly in a rally mode. Looks more like money is flowing out of the market rather then flowing in.

Last Thursday's rally created divergence between that of the common stock only and composite ratio adjusted NYSE MCO's, so we're out of sync at the current time...where the bulls don't quite yet have the power needed to drive prices higher on a trending basis, and this is being reflected by the choppiness of the MCSUM itself from the end June lows.

The NYSE breadth MCSUM has relieved much of the extreme "overbought" conditions during the month of June, and it's now in the process of finding itself in attempt to move higher from it's zero line. Near term, the NYSE volume MCO and MCSUM continue to suggest that there isn't much power with the bears either, so any or all surprises will continue to the upside until this side better asserts itself.

All of this could be OPEX related with many traders presumably loading up on July puts because of the choppy June period, but technically, the divergence between the common only and composite MCO's is instructing us that until the interest rate sensitive stocks of the NYSE show some production, we're more than likely going to see a very selective marketplace with a bullish bias near term, and where, the rest of July and August should see a continuation of the uptrend that began back in March once the current indecisiveness is remedied.

Fib

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#12 redfoliage2

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Posted 17 July 2007 - 04:00 PM

It would probably be more appropriate to reference the SPX 1554 level as the resistance you're referring to as opposed to 14,000 Dow which is, like 13,000, a psychological number, and having little to do with the actual technicals of the current price pattern.

Fib


Fib,

What do you think of NYMO and summations at this point. They aren't exactly in a rally mode. Looks more like money is flowing out of the market rather then flowing in.

The performance of the market today smells rotten. :sweatingbullets:

#13 nicolasillo

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Posted 17 July 2007 - 05:30 PM

It looks like the market wants to go down for quite some time now. But then again you have the usual suspects that their remaining tool - in order to argue they have some plus for next year (if you know what I mean) - is the stock market. Lots of important data coming out as well, CPI, Housing stats and then you have Bernake. Only for one we can be sure that will be -ve for the market, the rest it s up to the usual suspects and if they still have the power to manipulate them or they are already losing the game. Let s hope it goes down......

#14 redfoliage2

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Posted 17 July 2007 - 05:37 PM

It looks like the market wants to go down for quite some time now. But then again you have the usual suspects that their remaining tool - in order to argue they have some plus for next year (if you know what I mean) - is the stock market. Lots of important data coming out as well, CPI, Housing stats and then you have Bernake. Only for one we can be sure that will be -ve for the market, the rest it s up to the usual suspects and if they still have the power to manipulate them or they are already losing the game. Let s hope it goes down......

The manipulators thought they were holding the tech earnings card and so they pumped NASDAQ to the level not seen in some years just before the INTC and YAHOO gave them the double-smack on the face. :lol:

Edited by redfoliage2, 17 July 2007 - 05:41 PM.


#15 fib_1618

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Posted 17 July 2007 - 06:00 PM

Let s hope it goes down......

Hope? You can't trade on hope.

Fib

Better to ignore me than abhor me.

“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin

 

"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw

 

Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.

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#16 nicolasillo

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Posted 17 July 2007 - 06:29 PM

Let s hope it goes down......

Hope? You can't trade on hope.

Fib


trust me, with this kind of market you need hope too.

#17 spielchekr

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Posted 17 July 2007 - 06:51 PM

It would probably be more appropriate to reference the SPX 1554 level as the resistance you're referring to as opposed to 14,000 Dow which is, like 13,000, a psychological number, and having little to do with the actual technicals of the current price pattern.
Fib



Ever notice how they give us one less period before the next psych test? Maybe this is the final exam. :P

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#18 redfoliage2

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Posted 18 July 2007 - 06:07 AM

It looks like the market wants to go down for quite some time now. But then again you have the usual suspects that their remaining tool - in order to argue they have some plus for next year (if you know what I mean) - is the stock market. Lots of important data coming out as well, CPI, Housing stats and then you have Bernake. Only for one we can be sure that will be -ve for the market, the rest it s up to the usual suspects and if they still have the power to manipulate them or they are already losing the game. Let s hope it goes down......

The manipulators thought they were holding the tech earnings card and so they pumped NASDAQ to the level not seen in some years just before the INTC and YAHOO gave them the double-smack on the face. :lol:

There will be more under par earnings from tech leaders. NASDAQ has been over-inflated and needs at least a 5% correction.