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#1 A-ha

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:21 AM

my target for vix i gave you folks was 36...

no one believed it...

todays high was 35.29... i know day is not over but i think this low on spx will hold for a while



shes gonna get wild



i think they got rid of the last standing shorts during the last 30 mins before they unloaded through the market in the last 2 minutes , i am sure u noticed that especially if you were long ...

get ridy for vix=36 next week as the writes start taking dump like elephants



since the lows are in, i will tell you what the heck was that...
many baloon head hedgies sold ******** load of puts assuming that the market was oversold and that was a good entry...

this is what they been doin for the last 4 years , eating like birds

well now they ******** like elephants

they kept covering as we plunge , pushing the rope harder for the boys

Edited by A-ha, 16 August 2007 - 10:27 AM.


#2 Trend-Signals

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:32 AM

a-ha.... of course, VIX/VXN can and will go up higher than 36 as I said that the "no-up-tick-rule" will cause higher volatility.

http://investorshub....p?board_id=8800

Edited by Trend-Signals, 16 August 2007 - 10:35 AM.

Market Timing ... Trend-Signals.com

#3 A-ha

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:36 AM

a-ha.... of course, VIX/VXN can and will go up higher than 36 as I said that the "no-up-tick-rule" will cause higher volatility.



Not sure about its effect on the vix but i know that vix rallied and never dropped back after Feb 27 plunge. There was no no-uptick rule that time.

#4 Trend-Signals

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:44 AM

a-ha.... of course, VIX/VXN can and will go up higher than 36 as I said that the "no-up-tick-rule" will cause higher volatility.



Not sure about its effect on the vix but i know that vix rallied and never dropped back after Feb 27 plunge. There was no no-uptick rule that time.




During the mid 2006, I commented that VIX was following the 1995 pattern breakout.

Now, we know that 2000-2002 VIX was higher, so it is nothing new, but certainly the no-up-tick rule helps increasing volatility.

Having said that, we will see great impact on individual stocks to move under the rule since no one is policing price actions....
Market Timing ... Trend-Signals.com

#5 arbman

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:45 AM

... Price is about to complete AB=CD for OEX, NDX and SPX. ... Implied volatilities are way up there at panic levels like you said. ... Still positive divergence in the small caps. ... Speculation is also way bullish here, P/C ratios are near or at the all time highs. So what is really missing? Volume, the capitulation happened in the options volume, not underlying volume. This is making me uncomfortable for a lasting low idea here, but it is different everytime and there was tremendous volume to this far. As I said I am not buying until I see a higher low on the weekly. I might scalp, but no IT positions... We'll see... - kisa

#6 arbman

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 11:06 AM

We are at week # 33 :lol:

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