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Confessions of a Former Bull


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#1 blustar

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Posted 20 August 2007 - 06:57 AM

The normal 48-56 day cycle went to 58 days last week, which means we are in a full fledged bear. I was looking for about a one hundred point rally in 2 days and we got 80 but from a lot lower levels. The wave 'w' irr flat proved itself to the down side and I should have not ignored it to my own shame. :blush: Monday marks an 8 day cycle top near 1450 and the next move should take us back to 1400 by Tuesday. Thursday or Friday this week has a target of 1530 with 1210 by August 31. October 9th should see a retest near 1188, with a 10-11% counter trend move into near Sept OPEX.

Blessings,

 

blu

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#2 S.I.M.O.N.

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Posted 20 August 2007 - 10:28 AM

October 9th should see a retest near 1188, with a 10-11% counter trend move into near Sept OPEX.

did you mean sept 9th/10th?
very interesting forecast
i don't about your price levels, but my work also suggests a decline starting later this week and going into
sept 7th-13th timeframe.
*previously known as pnfwave

#3 youmast

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Posted 20 August 2007 - 12:09 PM

to 1400 by Tuesday. Thursday or Friday this week has a target of 1530 with 1210 by August 31.


You mean 10% up from Tue to Fri this week.... and 20% down over next week? Are you buying straddles on such prediction? Even if they cost 50+ spx point each side, they could make tons of money. That's easy..... double your money on calls first.... then triple your money on puts...

Or I missed something, huh?