6 replies to this topic

[Tor]

Dollar down, stocks up. No, dollar down now stocks down. So now its simple IMO: Dollar down from here, market will go verticle. Dollar up, then we are all well and truly f**ked. Dollar should go down, basis rate expectations. All eyes FED.

[eminimee]

Posted before ...posted again....I wouldn't even look at the dollar as any indication of where equities are headed.

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$USD&p=M&st=1980-01-01&i=p71167645816&a=112557640&r=3935.png

[relax]

what i have learned is that dollar, rates and oil really make no difference you can find cases of equities going up or down with the above going up or down dollar rates and oil are for newsletters, newspapers, economists not for traders or others actually investing money in the markets

[colion]

The dollar seems to spend most of its time either being highly correlated with equities or not. Wonder what is the underlying basis for this "psychotic" behavior. If that puzzle were unscrambled it could be quite helpful. Anyone have a clue? Right now we are in a lowish correlation period (r = -0.6), as shown in the following monthly chart.

[uncleharley]

For a clue look at the value of the Yen and how it correlates with global stock markets. A case could be made that the rise and fall of the yen creates liquiity or lack of liquidity, depending on which way it is going. This may have an inverse effect on global stock markets. This is just a clue. I really don't know.

[nimblebear]

Posted before ...posted again....I wouldn't even look at the dollar as any indication of where equities are headed.

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$USD&p=M&st=1980-01-01&i=p71167645816&a=112557640&r=3935.png

great charts ! looks like head and shoulders top on US $ peso

[Tor]

Posted before ...posted again....I wouldn't even look at the dollar as any indication of where equities are headed.

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$USD&p=M&st=1980-01-01&i=p71167645816&a=112557640&r=3935.png

lovely charts tp, is there any way you can do them by way of overlay? ie dollar overlaid by spx for example, and in one chart? also notice the past 3 months and see whats been driving this mrket up IMO dollar.

Edited by Tor, 08 September 2007 - 11:11 AM.