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Gary, you have to help us here, no clue...


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#11 *JB*

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Posted 29 September 2007 - 02:10 PM


To keep it short, I did a "study" about 4 years ago that took the better part of 6 months of spare time -- a myriad of portions (and "ratios") of COT data that I hand entered into Tradestation and came to the conclusion that the best approach (BY FAR) to using COT data (in an IT trading style) was fading the small specs..



LOOK DON'T THINK for sure
but applying this to emini cot or big contract cot, fading small longs or shrts looks like an expensive hobby.
I realize you are probably not looking for further comment from me but my interest in cot data
is genuine.:)


Comment away. That's what we are here for...eh?

Just to be clear(er), it was for trading longer term positions in broad market MFs, ETFs, etc. My purpose was in anticipation of my retirement from my "full time job" daytrading the big contract to unleveraged position trading a portion of my (to be) income/retirement portfolio. For me -- it was NOT about trading the futures!

Also, MY RESULT is just that -- MY result. Many others do have success with different approaches that utilize COT data -- AND -- more power to them!
"Don't think...LOOK!"
Carl Swenlin, founder of Decision Point and original Fearless Forecasters board.

#12 jack

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Posted 29 September 2007 - 04:36 PM

Thx for your thoughts JB I'm always looking for new ways to look at es and spooz cot. Pretty opaque to me at this stage, not like clear signals given by gold cot.(I don't time entries by any cot) I'll bet option sellers have a thing or two they could teach about cot reports.

#13 espresso

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Posted 29 September 2007 - 05:15 PM

You must understand the Commercials! :) They are, they are the smart boys, they are the gorillas, they got the cap! They never lose. They hedge everything. Whatch how they moved their cap by the weeks. They're not going to lose what capitalized this week. Watch how they'll move the cap next weeks. jmho B)
Spesi FF