Looks as if gold has begun a solid move to the north, and my indicators are showing strength. I may now buy some stocks on any decent pullback. I still think we have lower lows coming in April but will try to take advantage of strength for a s/t trade. Comments welcome .
Pmilly
There she goes!
Started by
PMILLY
, Mar 18 2004 11:45 AM
17 replies to this topic
#1
Posted 18 March 2004 - 11:45 AM
#2
Posted 18 March 2004 - 11:52 AM
going long is the best trade for now. s/t indicators are up. best case, this past month or two, was a forming of a double bottom pattern (which then means a m/t up trend.) good luck trading PMilly. SC.
#3
Posted 18 March 2004 - 04:05 PM
Looks to me like HUI poked it's head above the declining tops line and got it
bit off. I also want to see gold close decisively above 410, not tease us then disappear.
The whipsawing
since Dec. has been intense. I suspect PM stocks won't go until the market
leads the way. Spx is now a better indicator for gold than $$.
#4
Posted 18 March 2004 - 04:26 PM
didn't like the price action at the 2nd half of the day... sold half my positions and will sell the other half if xau/hui don't move up tomorrow. may be just a brief pullback similar to the stock market's pullback today after yesterday's big rally. will see. SC.
#5
Posted 18 March 2004 - 05:41 PM
maybe I shouldn't had sold half my position. on any pullback tomorrow will buy back the shares as the s/t trend is still up for now. best case, the m/t is up.
#6
Posted 18 March 2004 - 05:41 PM
Lot's of head fakes these past couple of weeks, I still remain very cautious and don't think that today's move signified any change in trend. Take a look at the XAU P&F chart, we need to be at 104 or higher to confirm a breakout and we could easily head down from here at the same speed.
#7
Posted 18 March 2004 - 08:02 PM
I think all of you are right to be cautious. I know I have been. There will definitely be better days in the future to buy gold. I would like to catch some of these short term pops, but I was early in NEM last week. I'm still on the sidelines and have been trading in other venues right now. Tomorrow could be a telling day because if there is weakness again, it could turn around as Gold Miner was saying. Either way, it is still too early to tell for anything besides the short term. I still may to trade on the long side if the pullback looks corrective.
Pmilly
#8
Posted 19 March 2004 - 11:41 AM
anybody else short the gold stocks? I went short today(friday) near the highs. I have a target of 43.45 on nem. taking some deep breaths.
scott
#9
Posted 19 March 2004 - 11:46 AM
I'm not currently short NEM, but I think it is reasonable that it could pull back to the 43.50 area. I do not like to short gold stocks if they start a move and look fairly strong. Been burnt too many times. Now, if NEM pulls back to your target, and the pattern looks corrective, I may buy in that area next week . Just my take.
Pmilly
#10
Posted 19 March 2004 - 11:47 AM
I'm not saying it will happen but there is still a good chance the gold stocks will sell off heavily. I am not playing that now but looking for short term profits and still looking for the intermediate signal to go long or short.
scott