Bradley Model Followers, Help me out here. Options

[jjc]

I don't know the details.


Tomorrow is the predicted reversal day, does that mean it has to be tomorrow or is there this concept of an orb
of +/- 3 days the astro guys describe about astro events?


If we turn here today or tomorrow and head into a low the first or second week in April, what does that tell you about
the rest of the year?

What if we have an inversion? By that I mean a low on the Bradley date and a run up? Is that possible given our history the
last few days? How soon do you know it has inverted?


I'm very curious about all these issue; It seems to me enough traders follow the model to have an impact, regardless
of the underlying "fundamental" strength of the model (I just don't know the details).

Thanks
Jim

[dasein]

since no one said anything - I dont follow it but there are a lot of posts on TT about it - this may be informative

http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index.php?...&hl=bradley

then there is google etc

[jjc]

since no one said anything - I dont follow it but there are a lot of posts on TT about it - this may be informative

http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index.php?...&hl=bradley

then there is google etc

Thanks Karen. I find that people who use Astro to predict market direction tend to be shy about it, although
I think Andrew Lo is actively researching it (so it may be gaining some respect)

Like any signal that enough people follow; it's good to have an idea how it works.


Jim

This post has been edited by jjc: Mar 15 2012, 03:12 PM

[selecto]

Jim, here is my take on Bradley dates:

They are a load of compost. I think they have a 2-3 day window, and can signal (seems to me) reversals, continuations or consolidations. Trade that.

I note that the moonies never come with a trade call in anticipation of a Bradley date, like: "Hey kids, Thursday is a major Bradley, everybody go ______.

Here is a chart I post now and then showing recent major Bradleys.



This post has been edited by selecto: Mar 15 2012, 06:48 PM

[Gumper]

I am a rank amateur and almost never post because of that, but my understanding of Bradley turn dates is that they may only sometimes reflect turns in equities. It could be a turn in commodities, currencies, or some economic event (consider the recent post about Japan's dire debt situation). Tying it to equities only is I think a mistake. You must look at the macro environment. Sorry for the intrusion.

[Rogerdodger]

I am a rank amateur and almost never post because of that, but my understanding of Bradley turn dates is that they may only sometimes reflect turns in equities. It could be a turn in commodities, currencies, or some economic event (consider the recent post about Japan's dire debt situation). Tying it to equities only is I think a mistake. You must look at the macro environment. Sorry for the intrusion.

EXACTLY!

The last few Bradley dates have seen the price of gasoline go up.

[Gumper]

After a trip last week in the RV I certainly felt the effect of those gas price increases! I think they call that a loss! Money out of my pocket into someone else's!

[SemiBizz]

I reference Bradley, but I don't dwell on it because it is very slushy and gray. Using the term "turn" can be confusing... because you may not get a "turn". I think it's more like a "trend change or acceleration".

I have found that Gann dates are more interesting. For example:


March 6th 2012. 3 year Anniversary of Bear Market Low.


Now look at March 6th on the chart

[arbman]

If anyone of you is buying or selling the Bradley, I would like to also sell you some snake oil...



This post has been edited by arbman: Mar 16 2012, 07:53 AM

[jjc]

If anyone of you is buying or selling the Bradley, I would like to also sell you some snake oil...

It seems doug Kass is.