Jump to content



Photo

Are you a Riverboat gambler or a conservative investor?


  • Please log in to reply
5 replies to this topic

#1 Rogerdodger

Rogerdodger

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 26,991 posts

Posted 09 February 2010 - 01:43 AM

I've seen a few big "Riverboat" type gamblers come through here.
But as for me, 1/2 a loaf is better than none as my mamma used to say.

Maybe it's just the size of my Amygdala. :blush:

Study shows why it is so scary to lose money
Mon Feb 8, 2010
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - People are afraid to lose money and an unusual study released on Monday explains why -- the brain's fear center controls the response to a gamble.

The study of two women with brain lesions that made them unafraid to lose on a gamble showed the amygdala, the brain's fear center, activates at the very thought of losing money.
The finding, reported in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, offers insight into economic behavior and suggests that humans evolved to be cautious about the prospects of losing food or other valued possessions.
Benedetto De Martinoa of the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena and University College of London and colleagues were studying why people will turn down gambles that are likely to lead to gain.

"Laboratory and field evidence suggests that people often avoid risks with losses even when they might earn a substantially larger gain, a behavioral preference termed 'loss aversion'," they wrote.
"For instance, people will avoid gambles in which they are equally likely to either lose $10 or win $15, even though the expected value of the gamble is positive ($2.50)."

They studied two women with a rare genetic condition called Urbach-Wiethe disease, which damages the amygdala, the almond-shaped center in the brain that controls fear and certain other acute emotions.
The researchers compared the women's responses to 12 people with undamaged brains. They noted this kind of study usually involves only a few people as it is not possible or ethical to deliberately damage a person's brain to see what happens.
The volunteers were asked to make gambles in which there was an equal probability they would win $20 or lose $5 (a risk most people will take) -- or would win or lose $20 (one most people will reject).
The two patients with damaged amygdalas fearlessly risked a $50 pot.

"We think this shows that the amygdala is critical for triggering a sense of caution toward making gambles in which you might lose," Colin Camerera of University College London, who worked in the study, said in a statement.
"A fully functioning amygdala appears to make us more cautious," added his colleague Ralph Adolphs. "We already know that the amygdala is involved in processing fear, and it also appears to make us 'afraid' to risk losing money."
The study could also help researchers understand why some people are more willing to take risks than others. Perhaps genetic differences in the DNA activated in the amygdala explain it, the researchers said.
LINK

#2 Rogerdodger

Rogerdodger

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 26,991 posts

Posted 09 February 2010 - 01:49 AM

Emotional trading. I think this helps explain why it's so hard to pull the trigger when you should according to technical analysis, when there is "blood in the streets," but easier when the crowd is buying and the market's already moved and positive emotions are stronger.

#3 milbank

milbank

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 4,714 posts

Posted 09 February 2010 - 08:50 AM

Look at my picture and you tell me. . . ;)

Edited by milbank, 09 February 2010 - 08:51 AM.

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
--George Bernard Shaw


"None are so hopelessly enslaved as those who falsely believe they are free."
--Johann Wolfgang von Goethe


#4 milbank

milbank

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 4,714 posts

Posted 09 February 2010 - 09:48 AM

After having a good feel for the probabilities, using stops and money management is absolutely essential. There is, of course, nothing in the sentence above that is not already known by successful traders.

Edited by milbank, 09 February 2010 - 09:50 AM.

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
--George Bernard Shaw


"None are so hopelessly enslaved as those who falsely believe they are free."
--Johann Wolfgang von Goethe


#5 porsche911sg

porsche911sg

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 2,907 posts

Posted 09 February 2010 - 10:47 AM

After having a good feel for the probabilities, using stops and money management is absolutely essential.
There is, of course, nothing in the sentence above that is not already known by successful traders.

I ran my shorts with NO stops from dec at es 1111. on option as I am willing to bet all than the rally will fail
The market catches almost everyone on the wrong side. We always seem to get fake break out before that huge dump or the hugh dump before the false break down! Trade Safe!

#6 nimblebear

nimblebear

    Welcome to the Dark Side !

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 6,062 posts

Posted 09 February 2010 - 11:18 AM

I've seen a few big "Riverboat" type gamblers come through here.
But as for me, 1/2 a loaf is better than none as my mamma used to say.

Maybe it's just the size of my Amygdala. :blush:

Study shows why it is so scary to lose money
Mon Feb 8, 2010
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - People are afraid to lose money and an unusual study released on Monday explains why -- the brain's fear center controls the response to a gamble.

The study of two women with brain lesions that made them unafraid to lose on a gamble showed the amygdala, the brain's fear center, activates at the very thought of losing money.
The finding, reported in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, offers insight into economic behavior and suggests that humans evolved to be cautious about the prospects of losing food or other valued possessions.
Benedetto De Martinoa of the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena and University College of London and colleagues were studying why people will turn down gambles that are likely to lead to gain.

"Laboratory and field evidence suggests that people often avoid risks with losses even when they might earn a substantially larger gain, a behavioral preference termed 'loss aversion'," they wrote.
"For instance, people will avoid gambles in which they are equally likely to either lose $10 or win $15, even though the expected value of the gamble is positive ($2.50)."

They studied two women with a rare genetic condition called Urbach-Wiethe disease, which damages the amygdala, the almond-shaped center in the brain that controls fear and certain other acute emotions.
The researchers compared the women's responses to 12 people with undamaged brains. They noted this kind of study usually involves only a few people as it is not possible or ethical to deliberately damage a person's brain to see what happens.
The volunteers were asked to make gambles in which there was an equal probability they would win $20 or lose $5 (a risk most people will take) -- or would win or lose $20 (one most people will reject).
The two patients with damaged amygdalas fearlessly risked a $50 pot.

"We think this shows that the amygdala is critical for triggering a sense of caution toward making gambles in which you might lose," Colin Camerera of University College London, who worked in the study, said in a statement.
"A fully functioning amygdala appears to make us more cautious," added his colleague Ralph Adolphs. "We already know that the amygdala is involved in processing fear, and it also appears to make us 'afraid' to risk losing money."
The study could also help researchers understand why some people are more willing to take risks than others. Perhaps genetic differences in the DNA activated in the amygdala explain it, the researchers said.
LINK


The real question is, do those women make more money ?

the less conservative Ive become, the more money I tend to lose. :D
OTIS.