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Airedale.........perhaps wishful thinking from the Bullish camp


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#1 GOOSE2

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Posted 25 May 2007 - 09:59 AM

However, yesterdays lows was still in the window (48 to 56 days) for a nominal 10 wker. She came in on day 51. Thoughts sidebar: my line comes in at 1521ish

#2 airedale88

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Posted 25 May 2007 - 11:26 AM

goose, i already offered my thoughts on the 10 wk cycle phasing. nothing changed for me. does not mean i'm right. use what you think is best.
airedale

Outspeaks the Squire, "Give room, I pray,
And hie the terriers in;
The warriors of the fight are they,
And every fight they win".

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#3 GOOSE2

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Posted 25 May 2007 - 12:21 PM

goose, i already offered my thoughts on the 10 wk cycle phasing. nothing changed for me. does not mean i'm right. use what you think is best.



thanks, have a super day, Mate

#4 fib_1618

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Posted 25 May 2007 - 01:16 PM

From my corner of the universe...the 10 week low was due to nest on May 22nd, and I always allow a window of plus or minus 1 week for this cycle, so this would fit with your observation Goose (so far). Fib

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#5 Russ

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Posted 25 May 2007 - 01:28 PM

After closing the gap at es 1512 today, a wedge has formed which looks like it could be about to break out to the upside to test yesterday's high in the 1525 area, or alternately it fails and breaks to the downside.
"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
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#6 airedale88

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Posted 25 May 2007 - 02:34 PM

goose, i already offered my thoughts on the 10 wk cycle phasing. nothing changed for me. does not mean i'm right. use what you think is best.



thanks, have a super day, Mate



goose, just to refresh things, this is the RUT chart i posted back on 4/30 with the commonality phasing model (used for all broad market indexes) highlighting the nominal 10 wk cycle and two of it's smaller cycle harmonics (5 wk, 2.5 wk). we we're making a 2.5 wk low at the time the chart was posted and the next 10 wk, 5 wk and 2.5 wk low was indicated by a window running into the middle of last week. if one updates the chart it shows the 10 wk cycle IMO did bottom at the expected time frame. we just saw the 1 st nominal 6/7 day cycle after the 10 wk low finish it's movement.

simply counting days from lows to lows is not sufficient when applying Hurst's methods. other cyclic principles must be met, such as harmonicity.

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Edited by airedale88, 25 May 2007 - 02:36 PM.

airedale

Outspeaks the Squire, "Give room, I pray,
And hie the terriers in;
The warriors of the fight are they,
And every fight they win".

Ring-Ouzel, England

#7 GOOSE2

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Posted 25 May 2007 - 10:08 PM

goose, i already offered my thoughts on the 10 wk cycle phasing. nothing changed for me. does not mean i'm right. use what you think is best.



thanks, have a super day, Mate



goose, just to refresh things, this is the RUT chart i posted back on 4/30 with the commonality phasing model (used for all broad market indexes) highlighting the nominal 10 wk cycle and two of it's smaller cycle harmonics (5 wk, 2.5 wk). we we're making a 2.5 wk low at the time the chart was posted and the next 10 wk, 5 wk and 2.5 wk low was indicated by a window running into the middle of last week. if one updates the chart it shows the 10 wk cycle IMO did bottom at the expected time frame. we just saw the 1 st nominal 6/7 day cycle after the 10 wk low finish it's movement.

simply counting days from lows to lows is not sufficient when applying Hurst's methods. other cyclic principles must be met, such as harmonicity.

Posted Image






Thanks for the info AD and Fib. I'm still just a daytrader, but this stuff helps to have a bias for the day. Y'all have a great weekend.