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Widespread frosts hit Canada


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#1 Rogerdodger

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Posted 09 June 2009 - 10:46 PM

Recently some forecasters have predicted that Canada may lose much of it's agriculture because of cooling.
LINK

Oklahoma is having it's worst wheat harvest in 50 years because of the cool, damp weather.
LINK

Long Range Expert Joe Bastardi said this week that areas from the northern Plains into the Northeast will have a "year without a summer."
Link

Now Canada is suffering from widespread frosts, causing farmers to reseed.



In Manitoba, the frost is the worst in memory for its frequency and area covered, said Derwyn Hammond, the province's senior agronomy specialist for the Canola Council.

"Certainly (it's) the worst year I've seen," said Hammond, who has worked for the Canola Council for 15 years.

With deadlines for full canola crop insurance ranging between June 10 and 20 in Manitoba and Saskatchewan, Hammond said he expects most farmers will choose not to reseed.

LINK


I know the K wave doesn't exist and we are headed for rosey times all around.
Kondratieff Cycle Link

The fifty to fifty-four year cycle of catastrophe and renewal had been known and observed by the Mayans of Central America and independently by the ancient Israelites. Kondratieff's observations represent the modern expression of this cycle, which postulates that capitalist countries tend to follow the long rhythmic pattern of approximately half a century.

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"Canada's commodity-dependent economy presents an additional variable to North America's ability to withstand the forces of the deflationary contraction now spreading across the globe. Although there will be periods of rising commodity prices-perhaps the saving grace for economies such as Canada's (commodity and gold prices typically bottom right in the midst of the deflationary contraction, as they did in 1932 at the depths of the Great Depression)-this does complicate the picture with respect to anticipating Canada and North America's ability to "ride it out" with relatively little damage. In fact, because we are so technologically dependant, we may suffer even more."

Edited by Rogerdodger, 09 June 2009 - 10:56 PM.


#2 Rogerdodger

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Posted 09 June 2009 - 11:07 PM

Even Terry Laundry is looking for a bottom from 2010 to 2020:
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#3 humble1

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Posted 09 June 2009 - 11:43 PM

my longwave cycle mentor (handle: "twocents" who has visited here) is the leading expert on longwave cycles, imho. last i heard, he believes the econ low in 1954 was the last LW low. this allows me to target anywhere from 2009 (55 years) to 2014 (kress cycle 60 years) as the econ low. it is important to remember that the stock market low precedes the econ low. most likely we are heading into a Golden Age. i would elaborate on that but i had a post on that subject deleted a few months ago because it might cause an argument, LOL.

#4 shanabe

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Posted 09 June 2009 - 11:58 PM

The data obviously is only emerging with time...but upcoming Solar Cycle 24 appears to signal a significant shift in the recent high intensity solar cycles that probably have been driving avg global temperatures upward. In fact, given what is known about the sun (and much is unknown), and its cycles/behavior, the recent nadir in sunspot activity may approach that of the Dalton Minimum...which could auger a climate more like that of Dicken's England...you may remember the stories of "snowy London" in the early 1800s...and a much harsher climate in general. The attached chart (if it loads) should give one pause when considering what really drives planetary temperatures....CO2 or solar irradiance (small irradiance changes w/ solar cycle impact the solar wind - which directly changes the amount of cosmc radiation entering earth's atmosphere... higher solar flux, less cosmic rays enter earth's atmosphere, fewer clouds, higher temps...that's the greatly condensed version of the mechanism and current understanding/theory...which is supported by cursory view of the charts below). The correlation between cosmic ray flux entering earth's atmoshphere has been observed/documented though the exact mechanism isn't fully understood/modeled...along with other basics of cloud formation (which should give you pause next time you hear how some climate model is predicting thus and such decades out...). Food for thought next time you here some idiot talking about how cap n trade is necessary to save us from "ourselves / CO2"...

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Edited by shanabe, 10 June 2009 - 12:06 AM.

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#5 humble1

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Posted 10 June 2009 - 12:02 AM

edit: nevermind, why bother? ggg

Edited by humble1, 10 June 2009 - 12:09 AM.


#6 *JB*

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Posted 10 June 2009 - 04:26 AM

commodity and gold prices typically bottom right in the midst of the deflationary contraction"

Interesting....reading this -- plus the whole post -- just after checking out the recent breakout of the LT bottom set up in the CRB Index.

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Edited by *JB*, 10 June 2009 - 04:30 AM.

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#7 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 10 June 2009 - 06:44 AM

Anybody got a good commod etf, or proxy? Mark

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#8 mss

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Posted 10 June 2009 - 07:55 AM

Anybody got a good commod etf, or proxy?

Mark

These are my two favorites, FWIW. B)

http://stockcharts.c...3028&r=3414.png

http://stockcharts.c...8689&r=4499.png

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#9 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 10 June 2009 - 09:29 AM

Thanks!

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