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BOND MARKET ON VERGE OF COLLAPSE per TLT CHART

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#1 SemiBizz

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 11:02 AM

 

Watch out under this 120.73 now on TLT

 

This could have a SPECTACULAR FALL to 119


Edited by SemiBizz, 18 November 2016 - 11:08 AM.

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#2 SemiBizz

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 11:06 AM

EURO FELL SHARPLY to 1.0570

 

 

NEW LOWS DAX


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#3 libertas

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 11:21 AM

Putties in place.yes.gif



#4 SemiBizz

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 11:30 AM

How far out of the money did you go this time?


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#5 libertas

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 11:38 AM

Only about 2% but they're quite short. Massive divergences, low volatility  complacency, expect something to happen pretty quickly or not at all.


Edited by libertas, 18 November 2016 - 11:39 AM.


#6 SemiBizz

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 11:42 AM

Yup, still a TRADER's Market... you never know when they are going to engineer one of those 2 hour 150 pt Nasdaq pullbacks...

 

flowers.gif


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#7 SemiBizz

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 11:46 AM

TLT consolidated the 120.73 with a test of 120.74

 

Possible price rejection there...

 

We'll see if we get a new low now.


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#8 libertas

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 11:49 AM

Financial conditions are tightening. To quote the Fed: "Increasingly tighter financial conditions are associated with rising risk premiums and declining asset values. The net worth of households and nonfinancial firms is, thus, reduced at the same time that credit tightens. This leads to a period of deleveraging (i.e., debt reduction) across the financial and nonfinancial sectors of the economy and ultimately to lower economic activity."

 

Fed doesn't get much right, but it is hard to argue with that.


Edited by libertas, 18 November 2016 - 11:50 AM.


#9 libertas

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 11:52 AM

At some point, stocks will sell down and bonds will then have done enough and will turn to new lows in yield.

 

What is interesting is the compression in the 10/30 spread. Now 69bps.


Edited by libertas, 18 November 2016 - 11:59 AM.


#10 SemiBizz

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Posted 18 November 2016 - 12:05 PM

What is China going to do with all those empty buildings?

 

No one can afford them, but they keep on building...

 

Like the Terracota Army...

 

To be buried with the dead.


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics





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