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#1 da_cheif

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Posted 10 October 2019 - 10:59 AM

9147078_a1dc29718b1df583c5e4c86ab568c218

 

https://www.siliconi...?msgid=32364369



#2 robo

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Posted 10 October 2019 - 02:05 PM

After all, the best 6 months are getting close.....  I will watch for now.....

 

October 10, 2019

Just over a year ago, I wrote here about how annual seasonality has undergone a change versus how it used to act years ago.  We all know about how November to April is the strong period for seasonality, and then we are supposed to “Sell in May and go away”.  That was based on how things used to go, when the stock market would typically make a bottom in late October and then start higher.

In recent years, though, the seasonal inflection point has been creeping to an earlier point on the calendar.  For the 1997-2017 average pattern shown in this week’s chart, the lowest point of the autumn seasonal weak spot is actually now Sep. 24.  But that is “the bottom to go down into”.  Oct. 10 is the “bottom to go up out of”.  Both of those are earlier than the late October bottom which used to be the norm years ago.

 

 

https://www.mcoscill...ign=34b66d14cf-

email_cif_2019-10-10_seasonal_inflection_point_has&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_9e79f8200f-34b66d14cf-151476101

 

 

The trade war is a boon for global banks, as it hides their culpability for the crash of the biggest financial bubble in modern history. There are only two ways it will end: After the ongoing crash hits peak pain and a Lehman moment ensues, or another even bigger distraction (such as a shooting war somewhere in the world) takes its place. What is less certain is how the public will react to this fiscal earthquake. Will the majority believe the mainstream narrative that it was the trade war that caused the crash instead of the central and international banks? Or, will they see through the ruse?

For those that already have their eyes open, I suggest ample preparation to protect your savings as well your ability to provide for your family’s security. The end of 2019 is about to get even more interesting

 

https://www.zerohedg...e-talks-may-end


Edited by robo, 10 October 2019 - 02:11 PM.

“There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side”   Jesse L. Livermore


#3 Darris

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Posted 10 October 2019 - 02:40 PM

"Disaster is rarely as pervasive as it seems from recorded accounts. The fact of being on the record makes it appear continuous and ubiquitous whereas it is more likely to have been sporadic both in time and place. Besides, persistence of the normal is usually greater than the effect of the disturbance, as we know from our own times. After absorbing the news of today, one expects to face a world consisting entirely of strikes, crimes, power failures, broken water mains, stalled trains, school shutdowns, muggers, drug addicts, neo-Nazis, and rapists (adding Lehman moment, trade war, shooting war, earthquake). The fact is that one can come home in the evening--on a lucky day--without having encountered more than one or two of these phenomena. This has led me to formulate Tuchman's Law, as follows: "The fact of being reported multiplies the apparent extent of any deplorable development by five- to tenfold" (or any figure the reader would care to supply).”



#4 robo

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Posted 10 October 2019 - 03:03 PM

"Disaster is rarely as pervasive as it seems from recorded accounts. The fact of being on the record makes it appear continuous and ubiquitous whereas it is more likely to have been sporadic both in time and place. Besides, persistence of the normal is usually greater than the effect of the disturbance, as we know from our own times. After absorbing the news of today, one expects to face a world consisting entirely of strikes, crimes, power failures, broken water mains, stalled trains, school shutdowns, muggers, drug addicts, neo-Nazis, and rapists (adding Lehman moment, trade war, shooting war, earthquake). The fact is that one can come home in the evening--on a lucky day--without having encountered more than one or two of these phenomena. This has led me to formulate Tuchman's Law, as follows: "The fact of being reported multiplies the apparent extent of any deplorable development by five- to tenfold" (or any figure the reader would care to supply).”

LOL.....  sounds good to me.   I'm a trend trader so news events mean nothing to me.

 

 

https://www.fibtimer...ommentaries.asp

 

However, many here are always posting them so I do too on occasion.....  I remain in a cash position based on my daily trading system in my Vanguard account. VST trading is different....


Edited by robo, 10 October 2019 - 03:05 PM.

“There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side”   Jesse L. Livermore


#5 da_cheif

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Posted 10 October 2019 - 03:52 PM

https://www.naaim.or...exposure-index/