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Shall we shift focus from Coronavirus, to Junk Debt Implosion?


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#1 GreatWarrior

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Posted 17 March 2020 - 08:19 PM

Everyone think about the market bottom once peak cases of coronavirus has arrived. 

 

But, have you thought about the implosions of companies due to cash flow? How many companies are like AAPL can close the stores for 1 month and still come out healthy? I last heard SPX has 17% companies with bonds rated JUNK. 

 

With oil price plunging, most economic activities halted, small / medium and some large companies are living hand-to-mouth , and all are 1 month cashflow from bankruptcy. 

 

And their debt tied to CDS , another time bomb. 

 

When you buy into SPX thinking bottom has arrived, then comes the news of multiple Lemon-Brothers implosions. Wait for it. ... Oh, it's Lehman.  :D



#2 diogenes227

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Posted 17 March 2020 - 08:40 PM

And then there is this:

 

AIRLINES - UAL, DAL, AAL - MAY BE BANKRUPT BY MAY


"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."