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Best Case Scenario


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#1 MikeyG

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Posted 25 March 2020 - 03:57 AM

The USA is having a best case scenario so far handling this pandemic.

We have 1 death per 500,000 people. To put that in perspective if USA was Italy with same deaths per population we would have 40,000 that have died.

If USA had same deaths per population as the following countries it would be catastrophic:

Italy- USA would have 40,000 deaths
Spain- USA would have 22,000 deaths
Iran- USA would have 10,000 deaths
France-USA would have 7,000 deaths

Edited by MikeyG, 25 March 2020 - 04:05 AM.


#2 orange

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Posted 25 March 2020 - 12:58 PM

Right now a lot of the COVID-19 are located in pockets. It's clear if one person gets it, everyone around that person will get it. The assisted living house is a prime example. Nearly all those who tested positive died. It's sad to hear about those old people enjoying their day activities, now knowing they were spreading COVID-19 around which was a death sentence.


"When your position is underwater, average down" - Trader Bob

#3 Harapa

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Posted 25 March 2020 - 01:14 PM

... everyone around that person will get it. ...

Not correct.

Correct:...everyone coming in contact/around is "susceptible"

An acquaintance of mine passed away after being exposed to the virus...all in immediate family or persons he frequently interacted are asymptomatic.

In Pakistan large number of people returning from Iran by land were held up near the border in tents ( in quarantine?) for almost 3 weeks. Only handful of them scored positive for the virus.


My comments are for entertainment/educational purpose only. All posted trades are fake (aka. paper) trades.


#4 diogenes227

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Posted 26 March 2020 - 11:05 AM

MARDI GRAS - THE PARTY'S OVER

 


"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."


#5 diogenes227

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Posted 26 March 2020 - 11:14 AM

A DIFFERENT COVID-19 GRAPH

 

From the link:

 

 

The charts that normalize the path of the epidemics in different countries leave the impression that every country started at the same point. Not so. The United States and other countries that had the opportunity of seeing what had happened in other countries have no excuse for not being ahead of the game.

 


"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."


#6 Dex

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Posted 26 March 2020 - 11:28 AM

The USA is having a best case scenario so far handling this pandemic.

We have 1 death per 500,000 people. To put that in perspective if USA was Italy with same deaths per population we would have 40,000 that have died.

If USA had same deaths per population as the following countries it would be catastrophic:

Italy- USA would have 40,000 deaths
Spain- USA would have 22,000 deaths
Iran- USA would have 10,000 deaths
France-USA would have 7,000 deaths

 

If people are interjecting stats into the discussion of the stock market direction; I'm not sure why they are doing it.

 

For eons we have been saying the stock market is a forward looking discounting mechanism.  "buy the news; sell the fact"

 

The stock market price has incorporated all the information that has come out.

 

The only question is:  Is there bad or good news we do not know about that will surprise the markets?


"The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. "
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