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Risk Windows for the Week of May 17th


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#1 Douglas

Douglas

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Posted 14 May 2021 - 05:26 PM

According to my risk summation system, the days next week with the highest risk of a turn in or acceleration of the trend in the DJIA are Monday the 17th and Friday the 21st.  

 

This past week the Wednesday the 12th risk window tagged a low in the DJIA.  The jury is still out on the Friday the 14th risk window which is in a risk window pair with Monday the 17th.  The semi-annual flash crash window that I noted for Monday the 10th marked the start of a slow three day crash of more than 1500 DJIA points.  This is not the flash crash type event that has occasionally occurred in these windows in the past, but maybe this slow version is all that can happen now given the FED-Treasury funny money printer is operating in overdrive.  The next ones happen later this year near the fall new moons.

 

The little red squares on the chart below are all the risk windows and the blue line is the daily DJIA closes over the last couple of months.  Virtually all of these were posted in threads here in advance.  Now you see why I spend about 6 hours each week pouring over EXCEL spreadsheets doing these danged risk calculations. 

 

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Regards,

Douglas


Edited by Douglas, 14 May 2021 - 05:28 PM.