Well, what will be the catalyst of the next downfall.... Right now, we have money chasing money.. Things are getting expensive... Wage index is at 13% which was revised upward from 4.4% ( bullish ). Counter balances new home sales which are down.. With the high PE of US stocks and the narrowing of participation we could start to see the fall of the market at anytime, but I have also seen the narrowing disappear and we head higher... But given the narrowing is more steeply defined this time should lead to a larger sell-off....
what if the next bear market starts.....
Started by
andr99
, Jun 28 2021 01:56 PM
18 replies to this topic
#12
andr99
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Posted 29 June 2021 - 01:05 PM
just a reminder...which was the subject of the post I cancelled. It's true that the stock indexes have recovered very well from both the 2000 bear market due to the burst of the tech bubble and the 2007 subprime crisis. But it' s also true that if you don' t trade future contracts and you just trade stocks like I do, well there are some like Deutsche Bank which was at 95 in 2007 and currently is at 6 and something and Commerzbank which has lost even more. And all the banks more or less are well below their 2007 values.......that' s the effect of a bear market
Edited by andr99, 29 June 2021 - 01:07 PM.
forever and only a V-E-N-E-T-K-E-N - langbard
#13
gilford
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Posted 29 June 2021 - 01:08 PM
I'm a believer in the S&P = 10000 in 2035 theory. 2016 was the start of a new secular bull. But crypto is a different animal. When the scams and ponzi like exchange systems are flushed out crash will follow.
#14
12SPX
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Posted 29 June 2021 - 01:34 PM
2016 how do you get that, shouldn't it be 2009, someone always mentions 675, who was that again I forget lol!!
#15
pdx5
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I want return OF my money more than return ON my money
Posted 29 June 2021 - 07:44 PM
2016 how do you get that, shouldn't it be 2009, someone always mentions 675, who was that again I forget lol!!
675 ono 
"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule
#16
da_cheif
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Posted 29 June 2021 - 08:50 PM
bull will end when the fat partner zings....right now its in a monster zag.....675 ono snort
Edited by da_cheif, 29 June 2021 - 08:51 PM.
#17
andr99
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Posted 30 June 2021 - 06:16 AM
675 ONO SNORT......has beome my motto and I' m going to attach it in a string on the upper part of my pc monitor........in the case I might ever forget IT..........LOL..........even though I' m unable to imagine how I could ever forget it
Edited by andr99, 30 June 2021 - 06:17 AM.
forever and only a V-E-N-E-T-K-E-N - langbard
#18
gilford
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Posted 01 July 2021 - 01:17 AM
2016 how do you get that, shouldn't it be 2009, someone always mentions 675, who was that again I forget lol!!
pre covid but still valid IMO https://am.jpmorgan....ar-bull-market/
#19
andr99
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Posted 06 July 2021 - 12:58 PM
bull will end when it wants
forever and only a V-E-N-E-T-K-E-N - langbard
