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BEARS emerge from hiding but BULLS still in control...


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#81 dTraderB

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 08:01 AM

Within 1% of a High... And Investors Are Already Fearful?
 
 


#82 dTraderB

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 08:03 AM

ES hourly turned down

 

TRUE, but it took a while in DOT COM & HOUSING bubbles:

 

 
 
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"History proves this all ends badly and will result (as it did in the early and late 2000s) with an #exodus of individual #traders/#investors out of the #markets. Most will fail to survive the #marketcycle and will miss the next cycle.” – https://realinvestmentadvice.com/knowledge-vs-experience-why-most-investors-wind-up-losing/


#83 dTraderB

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 08:04 AM

DISTRIBUTION...

 

And, just to keep everyone alert, today was a 78% downside day. So the last five days have been -84%, -88%, +89%, +83% and now -78%. #NoComplacency
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Walter Deemer
 
@WalterDeemer
· Jul 21
Today was an 83% upside day. First back-to-back 80% upside days since Nov 23/24; also had them Nov 2/3.
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#84 dTraderB

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 08:06 AM

DVOL/(UVOL+DVOL). Indicator from Lowry’s Research.
 

 

DISTRIBUTION...

 

And, just to keep everyone alert, today was a 78% downside day. So the last five days have been -84%, -88%, +89%, +83% and now -78%. #NoComplacency
Quote Tweet
 
 
tjIsoy6__mini.jpg
 
Walter Deemer
 
@WalterDeemer
· Jul 21
Today was an 83% upside day. First back-to-back 80% upside days since Nov 23/24; also had them Nov 2/3.
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#85 dTraderB

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 08:08 AM

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Urban Carmel
 
@ukarlewitz
· 19h
Most of the time when bullish sentiment drops as much as it did this week, $SPX has bottomed, unless there is a 100-yr pandemic. From @McClellanOsc
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#86 dTraderB

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 08:10 AM

Bounced from one of the lowest levels in recent times, but still below ZERO ... next day or two is CRTICAL for ST direction

 

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https://www.mcoscill...t_breadth_data/



#87 dTraderB

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 08:10 AM

Yesterday, my support in #ES_F was 4343-4335 with 4385 1st target. We sold to 4341 and rallied to ~4385 target for a clean lvl to lvl move Plan today: Next up 4400 then 4420 but 4hr RSI(5) extreme overbought-manage risk. 4374 (weak) then 4350-55 (stronger) key supports if we dip
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Adam Mancini
 
@AdamMancini4
· Jul 22
As of now, #ES_F has re-entered the 1.5 year bear wedge that caused recent selloff. If it holds, its (yet again) a major bullish fake breakdown Plan today: 4hr RSI still very stretched. Basing/dip likely needed then push to 4385 & 4415. 4343-4335 *must hold or its back to 4280 twitter.com/AdamMancini4/s…
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#88 dTraderB

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 08:12 AM

Profits on Monday & Tuesday, Small losses on Wednesday & Thursday, risk-off trading today to keep this week profitable

 

Lowest Naz volume in two months.


#89 dTraderB

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 08:13 AM

Distribution as we get into final trading days in July and enter the dreaded AUGUST

 
 
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August has been a dangerous month for the market - August is the worst DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 month over the last 33 years, 1988-2020 with average declines ranging from 0.4% by Russell 2000 to 0.8% by DJIA. For NASDAQ...

 



#90 12SPX

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Posted 23 July 2021 - 09:55 AM

Thanks for the news!!  Hmmmm I'm gonna bet the Nasdaq goes red at least for a bit today, average short 4375, nice round number.....Funny thing is my sold 4500 calls are still in the green even though were higher but the 4400's I took $30 profits on Monday are almost back to $50 but for now selling the 4450 calls for a nice even $25, way to inflated.  Taking profits on my sold August 4000 puts at $11 for a $19 profit, gonna hang onto the 3800's for a bit more!!