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Bloomberg talking about a "Fed whisper", a Fed leak that is


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#1 slupert

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Posted 14 June 2022 - 01:11 PM

saying 75 tomorrow, preparing the market. I don't have an article



#2 redfoliage2

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Posted 14 June 2022 - 01:22 PM

75 BPs just consensus. But bears have been expecting a 1% hike from this Fed meeting.  Let's see if the Fed stupid enough to go their way laugh.png


Edited by redfoliage2, 14 June 2022 - 01:25 PM.


#3 pdx5

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Posted 14 June 2022 - 01:25 PM

1/2% market big up day
3/4% not much effect
1% big down day
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#4 fib_1618

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Posted 14 June 2022 - 01:40 PM

The boys and girls in the bond pits are now betting for a 89% chance of 3/4% point increase on Wednesday...and get this...a 85% chance of another 3/4% point increase on July 27th. And if that wasn't enough punishment, a 65% chance of another 1/2% point increase at the September 21st meeting.

 

Based on this, there's a better chance of breaking the back of the consumer than the rate of inflation....it's going to be a nasty summer.

 

Fib

 

 


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#5 pdx5

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Posted 14 June 2022 - 02:30 PM

I like 2 x 3/4
My 82% in MM funds should cough up a bit more interest after July.
Feel bad for people who commute long distance to jobs. I drove 70 miles each day to work for 17 years. One time during Carter there was talk of gas rationing. Very stressful.
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#6 redfoliage2

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Posted 14 June 2022 - 02:51 PM

Believe or not Mr. Market just confirmed that the Fed will raise by 75 BPs tomorrow, exactly the same as the consensus...........................


Edited by redfoliage2, 14 June 2022 - 02:57 PM.


#7 dougie

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Posted 14 June 2022 - 08:35 PM

The boys and girls in the bond pits are now betting for a 89% chance of 3/4% point increase on Wednesday...and get this...a 85% chance of another 3/4% point increase on July 27th. And if that wasn't enough punishment, a 65% chance of another 1/2% point increase at the September 21st meeting.

 

Based on this, there's a better chance of breaking the back of the consumer than the rate of inflation....it's going to be a nasty summer.

 

Fib

 

 

and that would get them to half of current inflation which hisotirically would never be enough would it? This time it might since the system is so fragile the wheels will come off the bus. and that might be what they are aiming at



#8 qqqqtrdr

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Posted 15 June 2022 - 09:46 AM

If you look behind the inflation numbers many aspects of industrial materials are way off their highs but still 15% higher than 1 year ago, but 20% lower from a quarter ago.    Inflation for the most part is starting to wane looking outside of oil&gas on a month to month basis as supply imbalances are starting to work their way out...   Because of this we are most likely a one and done rate hike whether it is a 3/4 point with thats it... or 1/2 point with a possibility of another in the future.... Just my read on it....



#9 12SPX

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Posted 15 June 2022 - 10:52 AM

If you look behind the inflation numbers many aspects of industrial materials are way off their highs but still 15% higher than 1 year ago, but 20% lower from a quarter ago.    Inflation for the most part is starting to wane looking outside of oil&gas on a month to month basis as supply imbalances are starting to work their way out...   Because of this we are most likely a one and done rate hike whether it is a 3/4 point with thats it... or 1/2 point with a possibility of another in the future.... Just my read on it....

Totally agree, I can't see them going all radical because it will kill the economy and put everyone into a depression. 



#10 K Wave

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Posted 15 June 2022 - 11:00 AM

They need to go a full 100, but most likely wont.


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy