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Advantage BEARS - unfinished business below ES 3650; October bounce


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#61 K Wave

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:08 AM

VIX still constructive for bears at this point...


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#62 tradesurfer

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:09 AM

cant believe I am actually saying VIX could do a superspike on nuclear war threat... geez



#63 beta

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:13 AM

this could still completely come apart in a heart beat if those last pivots don't hold....

 

Gold still dropping a bit more without me...

 

Cannot rule out that the local e-wave count that began on 9/20 was the start of a "3 of 3 of 3."  ohmy.png

 

So far, technical indications of this possible wave count include:

  • weak bounces
  • open gaps (that remain unfilled)
  • steep angle of decline
  • extreme oscillator readings that do not immediately reset

IF this wave count is correct, it's going to be a long time before bullz see SPX 3900/ TSLA 290 again. 

 

This is why I think it's very high risk to play the long side here, unhedged.  IMHO.


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#64 K Wave

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:18 AM

IF bulls win out on the 1 min TSLA battle line, then perhaps this in TSLA future?

 

tsla.png

 

Would line up fairly well on the rolling over 5 min as well for a nice combo....

 

tsla.png


Edited by K Wave, 26 September 2022 - 11:21 AM.

The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#65 K Wave

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:22 AM

TSLA 1 more time down to the line....can bulls hold it?

 

IF not, could get ugly sooner, rather than later...

 

Either way. its coming....


Edited by K Wave, 26 September 2022 - 11:23 AM.

The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#66 redfoliage2

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:23 AM

I'd not be surprised to see the June's low will not hold, that low may be reasonable then but not now .................... 



#67 tradesurfer

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:26 AM

Peter Eliades had a long term target about 100 on tsla



#68 K Wave

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:27 AM

Gold ever closer to the abyss....MASSIVE air gap in the chart if it goes hard down here today....


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#69 K Wave

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:29 AM

Rusty approaching Friday low....

 

Not especially bullish action on that one today as VIX pushes back towards 32


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#70 tradesurfer

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Posted 26 September 2022 - 11:30 AM

If spx breaks down here dont we get a fast move to 3200 and change ?  that is LAST support

 

if that breaks then could swing down to covid lows