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Complex Bottoming, Part 3: RALLY


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#61 dTraderB

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Posted 17 October 2022 - 06:10 PM

Added now: ES 3712.5   NQ 11184.5 

 

3 each

 

I may be up at 3am to start trading .. I WILL BE. 

 

 

 

No, not adding HEDGE SHORT

Am closing some LONGS, starting with SPY & QQQ CALLS opened on Friday

Will add 1 ES & 1 NQ HEDGE SHORT between ES 3695 & 3710 if traded

I wanted to close some LONGS and start winding down this big LONG position but I will wait at least until 2pm today

So, I will add a 3rd HEDGE if market trades in that range ... preferably above 3700

 



#62 dTraderB

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Posted 17 October 2022 - 06:16 PM

Closing update #ES_F: We hit my 3700 target for today by 10am and have based since as expected.
Breakout to 3720, 3740+ in play as long as 3670 keeps holding (back into the chop to 3630 if it fails).
 
Similar to another good trader I follow:
$SPX Plan for 10/18 Not much change from what i shared intraday, i am expecting a dip back to 3640 range and that needs to hold. I will look for buying that for a larger rally rest of the week. SL should be 3620. Or If we break above 3710, then gap of 3740 first.

 

 

$SPX Plan for 10/18 Not much change from what i shared intraday, i am expecting a dip back to 3640 range and that needs to hold. I will look for buying that for a larger rally rest of the week. SL should be 3620. Or If we break above 3710, then gap of 3740 first.


#63 dTraderB

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Posted 17 October 2022 - 06:25 PM

Big move today, above zero, could zoom ahead to above 300 this week

 

McClellanOsc_1407.gif

https://www.mcoscill...t_breadth_data/

 

And this:

way down there, but seem to be basing & then explode upwards

https://www.marketin...ce-decline-line



#64 12SPX

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Posted 17 October 2022 - 11:21 PM

Hmmmmm bit to much exuberance this evening, average short 3722!! 



#65 12SPX

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Posted 17 October 2022 - 11:35 PM

Looks like I'm gonna have to add more overnight!! 



#66 redfoliage2

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Posted 17 October 2022 - 11:37 PM

It looks this bear market rally still got more to go .....................


Edited by redfoliage2, 17 October 2022 - 11:43 PM.


#67 redfoliage2

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Posted 17 October 2022 - 11:51 PM

Likely it's going to SPX 3800 tomorrow.


Edited by redfoliage2, 17 October 2022 - 11:52 PM.


#68 K Wave

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Posted 18 October 2022 - 07:07 AM

important pivot action overnight on Dow

 

Above Yellow line, bulls are in control....see how long it stays above...

 

dji.png


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#69 12SPX

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Posted 18 October 2022 - 07:31 AM

 As I mentioned the other day the market is more about psychology than anything and that is where a shift has started.  Will it stick we'll see but it used to be if the 10-year bond approached and hit 4%, down we go.  At the moment it appears to not be scared of that level, maybe its because the market is daring the Fed to raise again who knows but for now it doesn't appear to be worried about higher rates, maybe its the anticipated earnings hopefully coming out better than expected.  Sentiment has been terribly off of late with way to many bears so that could also be it.  Overnight the prices on calls took a huge jump so that could be the first indication that volatility will return.  Guess we'll see what happens after the cash open to add or not to my short as my pajama traders failed me overnight so I'm still sitting with a short of 3722 this morning.



#70 12SPX

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Posted 18 October 2022 - 07:35 AM

And as I was writing I got my fill with an average short of 3735 now.  Would've been easier to stay long lol!!!