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FED PIVOT - 75bps, then Dovish tilt - Q3 Rally


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#1 dTraderB

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 09:42 AM

My FF is a 75bps hike

DOVISH tilt in Press Conference, and maybe even in the announcement

Q3 rally

 

BUT -- in this unstable global geopolitical situation TA & FA could be meaningless as the world tries to navigate through this dangerous environment .

 

Very volatile markets ahead

 

More later 



#2 12SPX

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 09:53 AM

Agree on the 75, think they will just say follow the data.  I also heard there is no speech afterwards is that true??



#3 dTraderB

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 09:59 AM

Q4  not Q3

specifically November to January



#4 dTraderB

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 09:59 AM

There MUST be a speech after! POWELL must do a Press conference or else ...

 

Agree on the 75, think they will just say follow the data.  I also heard there is no speech afterwards is that true??



#5 dTraderB

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 10:00 AM

Politicians & WALL ST sending a message to the FED: pause, tilt, pivot ...



#6 dTraderB

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 10:02 AM

Chinese regime trying to climb down from the top of that tall sharp COVID NET ZERO pole they mounted. 

Expect hints, rumors, etc as they "adjust" and move away from that stupid policy 



#7 gm_general

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 10:16 AM

In September job openings soared by 437K from 10.280MM in August to 10.717MM, the second highest monthly increase of 2022 and the highest since the 511K added in March. Oops!



#8 steadyquest

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 11:01 AM

Still hoping for one more push - fully expect to be denied

 

uup.png

 

At least the 50-day is still supportive (knock on wood)

 

uup2.png



#9 pdx5

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 11:18 AM

Politicians & WALL ST sending a message to the FED: pause, tilt, pivot ...

Exactly what is going on! With mid-terms right around the corner, pressure on FED to go easy on rate hikes from politicians must be enormous.


"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule

#10 andr99

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Posted 01 November 2022 - 11:33 AM

spx 4150-4200 then 3900, then watch the sky as someone else would say


forever and only a V-E-N-E-T-K-E-N - langbard