Jump to content



Photo

My latest Model forecast/Technical Analysis


  • Please log in to reply
90 replies to this topic

#91 EntropyModel

EntropyModel

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 2,723 posts

Posted 03 April 2023 - 03:35 PM

Now I have a minute, let me respond to 4casters asisine out of context posts - worthy of CNN 

 

>>I have no problem with criticism, or being called on 'being wrong', but this is mostly out of context, and not understanding timeframes and especially clearly the fractal.

 

The problem, I don't have time to deal with someone who does this - its time consuming and I'm busy ..u know, actually trying to post analysis etc ...

 

Even If I was wrong, so what?  who put you in charge of putting people on trial?   did I claim to have the oracle for future events, I like everyone just post my work ... 

 

 - your main objection was my claim the fractal nailed the moves - I mean, I don't know what to tell you, It DID - CLEARLY ..clear as ANYTHING - if you can't see that, your either not mentally capable and should refrain from commenting on such

things or apolozie after taking time to review my fractal posts. I won't hold my breath!

 

I am also a little pissed at Waver and others here for not saying this, confirms my decision to stop posting ... If not one of you can say the fractal was amazing last week, well, dunno' what your seeing or smoking..I won't waste my time!

 

 

Here's a brief response to each - I can't spend time to do this when I post probably 10 times a day ...but u comments are hall of fame stupid, so ... also if you want to discuss this directly, message me, and 

'ill arrange  a video call we can discuss the fractal and how u believe it didn't call last weeks up move, which is did clear as 1+1=2  

 

 

1. On Mar. 20th you wrote. "Internals are horrible.....after 5 day bounce.....that's not normal

    by long chalk.....smells like support that won't last." The mkt's been up since then.

 

YES - internal were horrible - do you know what the summations are? if not learn, if so then my statement was FACTUAL - do u know what facts are, doubtful it seems.

And no- its not 'normal', which refers to mean of a normal distribution  of historical data sets for internals versus price - that also a FACT.

My opinion -was Central bank support - which I believe is correct, take it or leave it ...  

It won't last - did I say a timeframe?  -no, It was a general statement of context no a 'market call' as u have framed it , how YOU chose to take it is your problem - I made alot of statemets u left out saying we should retest then get bigger bounce.

 

 

2. On Mar. 20th you wrote, "CBOE ran 0.7X all day and closed 0.83 one of the lowest readings

    of the year." The CBOE numbers include Leaps which skew the data. The CBOE numbers

    should not be used to make forecasts, instead the Equity Put/Call Ratio should be used.

 

Was that statement false? NO - its a FACT, It was on OBSERVATION, not a 'forecast'  LOL - as said, u lack comrpehension 

 

 

3. On Mar. 20th you wrote, "but this to me is a HORRIBLE bounce in every way and will

    eventually at LEAST RETEST as I said, but now strongly lean to a break below 3750 area

    and towards 3600". Retest hasn't happened and when is eventually?

 

YES that's my view, on the IT and longer timeframe - the TIMEFRAME MATTERS 4 casters, do u not understand we are not all daytrading like you, Jesus.

Timeframe - I suggest u pay more attension.

 

 

4. On Mar. 21st you wrote," Seems to me Retail is losing its mind here." The mkt is never wrong.

Yes, that's My view - I explained why talking about real world versus bull/bear trend ..u disagree? explain why ...

. You statement 'the mkt is never wrong'  is asisine in the extreme, I mean, obviously! what's your point...this wasn't a market call for mercys sake, u

again lack comprehension skills.

 

 

5. On Mar. 21st you wrote, "if EVER there was a VERY FAST MASSIVE DOWNMOVE this would

    be it." The mkt has moved up strongly since then.

 

 

Firstly IF .and second. did we not drop fast POst FED ? yes - that was the context for the comment, and I was correct, most looking for strong up move on 'Fed Pivot' so u struck out badly on this one, learn

 to understand timeframe and what IF means.

 

 

 

6. On Mar. 22nd you wrote, "we are as said due a pullback on ST model around here." Also, you

    wrote on Mar. 22nd, "REVERSAL setup here as gone over - ST model sell zone." The mkt has

    been up strongly since then.

 

SHORT TERM - ..up since...yes, since I posted an UP call last week and fractal showing each UP step, u know, UP, as in opposite of down as I called it...ur lack

of understanding 'short' term versus longer term is either disingenuous of sign of mental issues.

 

 

 

7. On Mar. 29th you wrote, "After today strong up support tomorrow shd see bit of weakness", Mkt

    up since then.

 

Repeat - u obviously didn't watch or understand the fractal did u ? admit it ....'cmon ..or u would realive I called it perfecly...I mean the fractal literally nailed every move your refering to here its just sad, and tells

 me u didn't watch or understand it ..sad.

 

8. On Mar. 30th you wrote, "Tomorrow will be informative. I think - I've got some really good signals

    saying more pullback tomorrow." On Mar. 31st the SPX was up 58 points.

 

Yep - you got me! ...did u follow the fractal though? no.


Edited by EntropyModel, 03 April 2023 - 03:47 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB