90 replies to this topic

[EntropyModel]

and there is the WAHOO Close as I call it ... we'll, we are toward end of the fractal sequence with every step nailed! ...the question is next do we get the termination, and what kind ... right into timeframe I gave of mon-tue ...we shall see. ...there's some things I'd  like to see from today, we saw on previous 2 - mostly a massive flip to retail bulls who got really vocal on both, proclaimed utoptian bull markets etc .

[EntropyModel]

FYI MASSIVE LQ INJECTION to produce this .. CB's doing their part LOL

https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/ODA3MTczOV8yMTIzMjQ0Ng

 

Edited by EntropyModel, 31 March 2023 - 04:41 PM.

[12SPX]

Interesting chart!! 

[Waver]

FYI MASSIVE LQ INJECTION to produce this .. CB's doing their part LOL
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/ODA3MTczOV8yMTIzMjQ0Ng

 

I think you have explained this in the past? Sorry if I missed it.
How are the values on this chart calculated?

Edited by Waver, 01 April 2023 - 10:44 AM.

[EntropyModel]

 

FYI MASSIVE LQ INJECTION to produce this .. CB's doing their part LOL
https://mark_davidson1-yahoo.tinytake.com/msc/ODA3MTczOV8yMTIzMjQ0Ng

 

I think you have explained this in the past? Sorry if I missed it.
How are the values on this chart calculated?

 

 

It's proprietary alas Waver - it just one signal in the LQ model ...I will review more in video this weekend, one key one is still on buy ...but quickly moving to sell area ...so I estimate this week will

be turn back down but likely slow turn .... unless of course, the CB have some reason to keep this massive injection going ...  this week will be huge tell as i've said.

[4caster]

Entropy, on Mar. 31st you wrote, "we are toward(s) end of the fractal with every step nailed!"

Your statement is not true for the following reasons.

1. On Mar. 20th you wrote. "Internals are horrible.....after 5 day bounce.....that's not normal

    by long chalk.....smells like support that won't last." The mkt's been up since then.

2. On Mar. 20th you wrote, "CBOE ran 0.7X all day and closed 0.83 one of the lowest readings

    of the year." The CBOE numbers include Leaps which skew the data. The CBOE numbers

    should not be used to make forecasts, instead the Equity Put/Call Ratio should be used.

3. On Mar. 20th you wrote, "but this to me is a HORRIBLE bounce in every way and will

    eventually at LEAST RETEST as I said, but now strongly lean to a break below 3750 area

    and towards 3600". Retest hasn't happened and when is eventually?

4. On Mar. 21st you wrote," Seems to me Retail is losing its mind here." The mkt is never wrong.

5. On Mar. 21st you wrote, "if EVER there was a VERY FAST MASSIVE DOWNMOVE this would

    be it." The mkt has moved up strongly since then.

6. On Mar. 22nd you wrote, "we are as said due a pullback on ST model around here." Also, you

    wrote on Mar. 22nd, "REVERSAL setup here as gone over - ST model sell zone." The mkt has

    been up strongly since then.

7. On Mar. 29th you wrote, "After today strong up support tomorrow shd see bit of weakness", Mkt

    up since then.

8. On Mar. 30th you wrote, "Tomorrow will be informative. I think - I've got some really good signals

    saying more pullback tomorrow." On Mar. 31st the SPX was up 58 points.

[EntropyModel]

Entropy, on Mar. 31st you wrote, "we are toward(s) end of the fractal with every step nailed!"

Your statement is not true for the following reasons.

1. On Mar. 20th you wrote. "Internals are horrible.....after 5 day bounce.....that's not normal

    by long chalk.....smells like support that won't last." The mkt's been up since then.

2. On Mar. 20th you wrote, "CBOE ran 0.7X all day and closed 0.83 one of the lowest readings

    of the year." The CBOE numbers include Leaps which skew the data. The CBOE numbers

    should not be used to make forecasts, instead the Equity Put/Call Ratio should be used.

3. On Mar. 20th you wrote, "but this to me is a HORRIBLE bounce in every way and will

    eventually at LEAST RETEST as I said, but now strongly lean to a break below 3750 area

    and towards 3600". Retest hasn't happened and when is eventually?

4. On Mar. 21st you wrote," Seems to me Retail is losing its mind here." The mkt is never wrong.

5. On Mar. 21st you wrote, "if EVER there was a VERY FAST MASSIVE DOWNMOVE this would

    be it." The mkt has moved up strongly since then.

6. On Mar. 22nd you wrote, "we are as said due a pullback on ST model around here." Also, you

    wrote on Mar. 22nd, "REVERSAL setup here as gone over - ST model sell zone." The mkt has

    been up strongly since then.

7. On Mar. 29th you wrote, "After today strong up support tomorrow shd see bit of weakness", Mkt

    up since then.

8. On Mar. 30th you wrote, "Tomorrow will be informative. I think - I've got some really good signals

    saying more pullback tomorrow." On Mar. 31st the SPX was up 58 points.

 

None of those comments refer to the fractal which I posted last week and said this week would be up. Yes, I have infact NAILED this bounce up on the fractal - could not be clearer LOL ..

Jesus,  sigh - I mean, you have failed to understand any those statements including what the fractal is and is posted, maybe others can help you ..I don't have time or energy for someone

who clearly lacks comprehension skills.  

 

Your taking comments also out of context of the DEGREE of TREND talked about - I am still obviously bearish that trend, being talked about - some comments refer to very short moves - for example,

the post FED downmove - which I got right LOL - we dropped fast post FED  ...and yes internals sucks and other comment s- most refer to IT or longer trend - which you have taken out of context.

 

You seem to have axe to  grind, please grind it elsewhere OR take more time to understand my work and comments - you literally have spend 3% of posts you've made on this

forum to attack me with idiot statments, like many hear your trying to work out your own personal issues attacking people who try to honestly post usdful TA and work for no gain,

I suggest you also reflect on that - I have zero time for it, just ignore my work and threads.

 

If I am wrong i'll say it and have - but that fractal has tracked evey step and i've showed it in real time!  I said this week would be up last week, go find that comment LOL ..I will be clearly wrong if this current up move does not turn down sometime next week as i've said - clearly. 

Edited by EntropyModel, 02 April 2023 - 12:00 PM.

[EntropyModel]

Here is the Fractal and some signals to the road map - hopefully help make it clearer

* I shd have added, also the dollar will have alot to say on whether we terminate here ..or get that next green box ..dollar would have to keep falling, it

'shd' bounce though which will cause termination.

https://www.youtube....h?v=cy7t_wuKPzo

 

Here is the fractal from March 23 and call for up week

 

 

 

I believe whatever is left to the upside comes NEXT WEEK - how much that is, will depend alot on the DOLLAR ...and just how close to EXAUSTION we are ....getting close from data I look at.

After that - as we get into April and time pushes out ... I believe we will continue to weaken ..and market will eventually give way .... is a SLOW PROCESS .

 

 

 

I get that I talk about different degree of trend can be little confusing maybe  - some short, some long - but it NOT that HARD is it? if you follow carefully ...the alternative is I don't

post ..'cos I don't know how to not mix short - medium- long timframe comments ..and rely on fact people understand markets enough to tell the difference..

 

What pissed me off is how right i've been on markets posting since last summer...not 100% but no one is  - but very few positive comments - then have to deal with this b.s. ... if I

held most to task for statement on this board it would not be pretty ... I post all my reasoning, work and TA ..unlike most.

Edited by EntropyModel, 02 April 2023 - 12:19 PM.

[EntropyModel]

Infact thinking about it,  I get zero benefit posting here, its extra work to mirror my work from substack and answer questions and deal with b.s. etc ...so i'm going to stop for foreseeable.

 

Anyone who is interested in my analysis subscribe my substack here https://markdavidson.substack.com/

 

and you can read my intraday commentary here:

 

https://markdavidson...OnTwitter=false

 

I have provided all my work free - but people like 4caster will make me put up a paywall just to not have to deal with b.s. 

[EntropyModel]

Here is my latest update -  and my final post on markets  for long while I expect here on FF ..I find there simple isn't many good or useful feedback on this forum - 

Sorry if i seem harsh but I don't believe 4caster is genuinely trying to be honest or fair in his comments, but is simply pissed from previous post a few weeks back and it simply

trying to as {bleeeep} ...to be blunt.. and I don't have time to defend all my posts, I post ALOT ...the record is there for reasonable people to see ...If I genuinely made a call and was wrong, I will say so,

 happened before ..will again, no one can 'predict' 100% ...   but

 

- you have to an idiot to not see I called last weeks upmove both in words, and on the fractal (I reposted above) - I don't see how anyone could do more to be clear? ..

-  as I went over the rest of comments above either refer to very long term (which this weeks bounce has nothing to do with duh!) or short term ( most of which I was actually correct, but moot)

 

I guess there is reason he has zero star rating, but anyway, more time and energy than its worth ..given the time/effort I take in posting.

 

https://markdavidson...dium=email#play

Edited by EntropyModel, 02 April 2023 - 06:03 PM.