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2023 Q4 EARNINGS, POLITICS, MIDEAST - Can BULLS resume rally?


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#31 dTraderB

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 06:33 AM

"Wall St re-finds mojo - but hurdles ahead
Wall St stocks shook off their new year torpor with the best day in almost two months on Monday - as tech fizzed again and disinflation signals mounted even as Boeing's woes acted as a drag on the blue chip Dow Jones index.



But sustaining the buzz looks tricky as investors face several big hurdles over the remainder of this week alone. And despite the valiant 1.4% rally on Monday, the S&P500 remains marginally negative for the first five trading days of the year - frequently a pointer to its full-year fortunes.

Still acting as a drag, last month's rate cut euphoria seems absent from the bond market - with 10-year Treasury yields stuck above 4% and even the more dovish Federal Reserve officials pushing back against bets of rate cuts as soon as March. Futures markets are now not fully priced for a first quarter-point cut until May.



What's more, some $110 billion of Treasury coupon sales kick off later on Tuesday with a $52 billion 3-year note auction - and 10- and 30-year paper comes up for grabs later in the week

Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Tuesday:
U.S. Dec NFIB small business survey, Nov international trade
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr speaks; Bank of France chief François Villeroy de Galhau speaks
U.S. Treasury auctions $52 billion of 3-year notes
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken in Israel to meet Israeli government leaders as part of Middle East tour

--REUTERS

#32 dTraderB

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 06:56 AM

NQ 16690
2 NQ & 2 ES

ES 4783
Holding 2 ES & 1NQ HEDGE LONG
Will add below ES 4758

My FF is new ATH in JANUARY even with ES dropping below 4600 before end of month


NQ 16737

Closed NQ HEDGE LONG 16802.5

Closed NQ HEDGE LONG 16716

HOLDING 1 EACH NQ & ES

Will reopen lower

Closed ES HEDGE LONG 4737.5
Holding 2 NQ & 1 ES HEDGE LONG

Closed 16472

NQ HEDGE LONG 16418.5
Holding 3 NQ & 2 ES

Will add ES below 4715



#33 12SPX

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 08:58 AM

Surprise surprise, markets down today as volatility reigns or is it that 10-year yield well above 4% right now...Added to my short on my NDX trade giving me an average short of 16620 last night and just went long at 16675 as I went long there for a 55 point loss but after making 464 points last week all reported on here I'm okay with it.  My ES trade average is 4760 and have a profit stop on there at 4775 to go long there if hit and will be a 15 point loss but again after making 109 points last week I'm okay with it.  Decided this year to not hold onto losers longer than a day this year as I'll be travelling alot and don't want to have to think about it.  Headed to Alabama today yay!!  Lets see what the cash market brings....



#34 12SPX

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 09:03 AM

And out of my ES trade for a 15 point loss, long at 4775 and 16675 for the cash open.



#35 12SPX

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 09:32 AM

profit stop 16676...



#36 dTraderB

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 09:34 AM

Will add BABA below 70.8
Will add A50 below 10090
Will add HSI below 16050

#37 redfoliage2

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 09:40 AM

The bounce was over done.  It's just a gift for bears ....................


Edited by redfoliage2, 09 January 2024 - 09:49 AM.


#38 dTraderB

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 09:46 AM

ES 4768.5

NQ 16690
2 NQ & 2 ES

ES 4783
Holding 2 ES & 1NQ HEDGE LONG
Will add below ES 4758

My FF is new ATH in JANUARY even with ES dropping below 4600 before end of month


NQ 16737

Closed NQ HEDGE LONG 16802.5

Closed NQ HEDGE LONG 16716

HOLDING 1 EACH NQ & ES

Will reopen lower

Closed ES HEDGE LONG 4737.5
Holding 2 NQ & 1 ES HEDGE LONG

Closed 16472

NQ HEDGE LONG 16418.5
Holding 3 NQ & 2 ES

Will add ES below 4715



#39 12SPX

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 10:01 AM

Out for a 1 point profit, hmmmmm



#40 12SPX

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Posted 09 January 2024 - 10:14 AM

profit stop mes 4776