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Yield Curves 15-Month Lag - Chart In Focus


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#11 redfoliage2

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Posted 25 June 2024 - 11:45 AM

Bounces at this juncture just inviting more selling as the market still in over-bought conditions .....................


Edited by redfoliage2, 25 June 2024 - 11:48 AM.


#12 redfoliage2

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Posted 26 June 2024 - 08:48 AM

It's likely the market is going to stay in a narrow range till PCE data out Friday morning ..............................


Edited by redfoliage2, 26 June 2024 - 08:56 AM.


#13 redfoliage2

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Posted 26 June 2024 - 09:27 AM

It's likely the market is going to stay in a narrow range till PCE data out Friday morning ..............................

I see it shall decide the market direction for the next few weeks ................


Edited by redfoliage2, 26 June 2024 - 09:28 AM.


#14 redfoliage2

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Posted 27 June 2024 - 02:20 PM

Today dips were bought and the 10 year treasury yield turned down as the market participants are getting prepared for PCE out tomorrow morning.  I see the likelyhood is good for US economy to remain on the disinflation track, we will find out tomorrow ........................


Edited by redfoliage2, 27 June 2024 - 02:24 PM.


#15 redfoliage2

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Posted 28 June 2024 - 07:44 AM

PCE data out - both MOM and YOY down from previous.  It's bullish for the stock market ............................ 



#16 redfoliage2

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Posted 28 June 2024 - 08:45 AM

 

It's likely the market is going to stay in a narrow range till PCE data out Friday morning ..............................

I see it shall decide the market direction for the next few weeks ................

 

As today's PCE confirm the CPI data that US inflation is going further down we are likely to see the bull run to continue in July and SPX is likely to reach 5600 in the summer ..........................



#17 12SPX

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Posted 28 June 2024 - 08:52 AM

Curious, when did it relieve overbought conditions you were talking about a few days ago?



#18 redfoliage2

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Posted 28 June 2024 - 08:58 AM

Curious, when did it relieve overbought conditions you were talking about a few days ago?

The market has been in consolidation for about a week prior to the PCE and with today's PCE it's time for the bull run to continue.  If you expect the market to have a deep correction you might have to wait till October, I guess ........................


Edited by redfoliage2, 28 June 2024 - 09:03 AM.


#19 redfoliage2

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Posted 28 June 2024 - 09:14 AM

Today dips were bought and the 10 year treasury yield turned down as the market participants are getting prepared for PCE out tomorrow morning.  I see the likelyhood is good for US economy to remain on the disinflation track, we will find out tomorrow ........................

12SPX:  I actually posted a heads-up here yesterday ...........................



#20 12SPX

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Posted 28 June 2024 - 11:44 AM

guess you shoulda stuck with it being overbought lol