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Half a Point. Has Me Thinking.


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#1 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 02:46 PM

I'm wondering if we're in for a series of inflation surges (cut, surge, raise, flatten, cut, surge). That has me thinking that it may be time to go back to shorting the long bond.

 

 


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#2 MDurkin

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 05:47 PM

https://www.tradingv...ersion-to-date/



#3 slupert

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 07:07 PM

End of the year 10 year should be right where it is now,whi h will screw up many people's plans.long bond,I have to agree with you.Jmho

#4 Bernie

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 07:24 PM

FED%2Brate%2Bvs%2BSP500.png



#5 redfoliage2

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 10:44 PM

As Powell indicated at the conference today it's data dependent.  There will be data on employment, CPI, PCE before the next meeting on Nov 6-7...............................


Edited by redfoliage2, 18 September 2024 - 10:48 PM.


#6 12SPX

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 07:45 AM

FED%2Brate%2Bvs%2BSP500.png

Awesome chart!!



#7 K Wave

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 08:08 AM

1 vs 30 finally uninverted...


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#8 Bernie

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 09:17 AM

 

FED%2Brate%2Bvs%2BSP500.png

Awesome chart!!

 

Thanks,Some Traders think we're at 94/95. It will be interesting to see how it plays out.



#9 K Wave

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 12:05 PM

 

 

FED%2Brate%2Bvs%2BSP500.png

Awesome chart!!

 

Thanks,Some Traders think we're at 94/95. It will be interesting to see how it plays out.

 

 

 

That is what Rusty is suggesting, and much more so if it gets past 2300.....

 

This daily chart is not a real bearish config...potentially quite the opposite, unless it were to take WWW low out at the 200 day...and soon

 

Food for thought.......

 


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#10 K Wave

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 12:12 PM

Also Trannies...they were a definite maybe for rollover last week...now not so much

 

Last Wednesday changed things it looks like....

 


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy