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Consolidation at Highs


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#41 redfoliage2

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Posted 07 October 2024 - 02:20 PM

Today US stock market got a selloff as Israel is observing a somber day of commemoration to mark the first anniversary of the October 7 Hamas attacks.  I just sold the ES puts I bought last Friday ......................


Edited by redfoliage2, 07 October 2024 - 02:30 PM.


#42 redfoliage2

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Posted 08 October 2024 - 09:16 AM

Well, at this juncture I don't trust October bounces and so I just loaded some ES OTM puts again as the uncertainties still there and now we got one more that's earnings ......................


Edited by redfoliage2, 08 October 2024 - 09:24 AM.


#43 redfoliage2

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Posted 09 October 2024 - 11:06 AM

It looks nothing could stop this mad bull as it keeps making new highs ........................ 



#44 redfoliage2

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Posted 09 October 2024 - 11:31 AM

It looks nothing could stop this mad bull as it keeps making new highs ........................ 

But technically it's ST over bought .....................


Edited by redfoliage2, 09 October 2024 - 11:31 AM.


#45 redfoliage2

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Posted 09 October 2024 - 02:28 PM

Well, this is buying on the rumor for tomorrow's CPI ...............................



#46 redfoliage2

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Posted 10 October 2024 - 08:35 AM

CPI out slightly hotter than the consensus - YOY:  2.4% vs expected 2.3% and core 3.3% vs expected 3.2%. MOM: 0.2% vs expected 01% and Core 0.3 vs 0.2 expected according to investing.com.  Index futures went down on the data while waiting for the cash market to open ...................



#47 redfoliage2

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Posted 10 October 2024 - 12:57 PM

With today's consolidation the market may still go higher tomorrow on a benign PPI ..................


Edited by redfoliage2, 10 October 2024 - 01:02 PM.


#48 redfoliage2

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Posted 11 October 2024 - 07:55 AM

PPI out indicating inflation cooling down a little bit last month - YOY 1.8% vs previous 1.9% and MOM 0% vs previous 0.2% according to investing.com.

BTW,  big banks kick off earnings reporting season today that is likely a main factor influencing market directions for the next few weeks  ..............................


Edited by redfoliage2, 11 October 2024 - 08:04 AM.


#49 redfoliage2

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Posted 11 October 2024 - 11:16 AM

SPX made a breakout today as the data showing inflation continuously cooling down and the Fed is more likely to cut again at the Nov meeting.  Now GS analysts seeing a SPX 6000 target .............................


Edited by redfoliage2, 11 October 2024 - 11:18 AM.


#50 redfoliage2

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Posted 11 October 2024 - 11:33 AM

SPX made a breakout today as the data showing inflation continuously cooling down and the Fed is more likely to cut again at the Nov meeting.  Now GS analysts seeing a SPX 6000 target .............................

GS sees SPX 6000 in just 3 months:

"a 3-month S&P 500 price target of 6000, up from a prior estimate of 5600. They also set a 6-month target of 6100 and a 12-month target of 6300, compared to their previous forecast of 6000"

 

https://www.investin...arnings-3650371


Edited by redfoliage2, 11 October 2024 - 11:34 AM.