THE YEN CARRY TRADE IS GOING TO EXPLODE
Started by
.Blizzard
, Mar 02 2007 03:45 PM
6 replies to this topic
#1
Posted 02 March 2007 - 03:45 PM
#2
Posted 02 March 2007 - 04:04 PM
Seems like a lot of "carry" has been wiped out in the past few days. When one has borrowed Yen to buy stuff in Dollars, and the Yen moves against you, then you have tio start selling the stuff you bought, in an attempt not to violate Buffett's Rules 1 & 2.
At least, that's how I understand it.
What I don';t understand is why Yen owners can only get .5% on their money.
#3
Posted 02 March 2007 - 04:22 PM
Selecto,
The yen borrowed has been invested in other vehicles in higher paying countries in cash, bonds, stocks, physical commodities, real estate. etc. to the tune of tens if not hundreds of billions of $. This will take time to unravel.
Regards,
F&D
Edited by flyers&divers, 02 March 2007 - 04:24 PM.
"Successful trading is more about Sun Tzu then Elliott." F&D
#4
Posted 02 March 2007 - 04:36 PM
Yes, I underrstand that. But I don't understand how/why the Yen owners can only get .5% on their money, even with 0 inflation there.
Edited by selecto, 02 March 2007 - 04:38 PM.
#5
Posted 02 March 2007 - 05:24 PM
selecto....It is for the Japan banks. After 1989 the banks were in
minus worth.
They have replenished themselves over the years by paying chump
interest and then creating fiat to invest in high paying paper
like New Zealand, U.S. etc.
#6
Posted 03 March 2007 - 04:18 AM
Check this out.
The distant yencontract broke 50% retracement and down channel. So it's not in the cards yet. The massacre is still to come....
Meaning of yen carrytrade. Interestingly the article is from Feb 22, 2006
http://www.financial.../2006/0222.html
The distant yencontract broke 50% retracement and down channel. So it's not in the cards yet. The massacre is still to come....
Meaning of yen carrytrade. Interestingly the article is from Feb 22, 2006
http://www.financial.../2006/0222.html
#7
Posted 03 March 2007 - 05:35 AM