Jump to content



Photo

Liquidity is waning ?


  • Please log in to reply
8 replies to this topic

#1 NAV

NAV

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 16,087 posts

Posted 03 April 2007 - 02:14 AM

http://stockcharts.com/charts/gallery.html?$NYAD

"It's not the knowing that is difficult, but the doing"

 

https://twitter.com/Trader_NAV

 

 


#2 dcengr

dcengr

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 13,391 posts

Posted 03 April 2007 - 02:18 AM

http://stockcharts.com/charts/gallery.html?$NYAD


I would tend to agree... except what disturbs me is that the drop at end of feb came sort of out of nowhere.. It was a vicious drop, and it was world wide.. it could've been panic, and sure enough it didn't last that long.

Perhaps liquidity problems as shown by NYAD are only predictive of greater than 4% drops from the highs.. or perhaps theres more to the liquidity story than just what NYAD can show.
Qui custodiet ipsos custodes?

#3 NAV

NAV

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 16,087 posts

Posted 03 April 2007 - 02:24 AM

it could've been panic


That was a panic by various measures, which many tend to disagree with me on this board. I have also stated my reasons. I also said right near the bottom that we would see a move to 1415 and then a retest and this whole drama should be over.

http://www.traders-t...?...c=67385&hl=

Edited by NAV, 03 April 2007 - 02:27 AM.

"It's not the knowing that is difficult, but the doing"

 

https://twitter.com/Trader_NAV

 

 


#4 wyocowboy

wyocowboy

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 424 posts

Posted 03 April 2007 - 03:29 AM

I have a simple question. What is liquidity and how do you define it?
Good luck is with the man who doesn't include it in his plan.
- Graffitti

#5 fib_1618

fib_1618

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 10,145 posts

Posted 03 April 2007 - 05:14 AM

I have a simple question. What is liquidity and how do you define it?

Not such a simple question actually as it fully depends on the mechanism being applied to create such an answer.

In a general sense, "liquidity" represents the ability to buy or sell a product (or service) at a quoted market price.

When it comes to the stock market, the spread between the bid and the ask provides the trader the knowledge of how "liquid" the issue is on both sides of the trade...the narrower the spread between the bid and the ask suggesting a higher level of liquidity (or execution) than that of a wider bid and ask spread.

The NYAD line represents the amount of money that is available for investment - not that it will be specifically invested, or where, or when - only that there is enough money in the "system" (when advancing) to provide that added structural cushion to all of the listed issues being cumulatively measured.

Fib

Better to ignore me than abhor me.

“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin

 

"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw

 

Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.

Technical Watch Subscriptions



 


#6 wyocowboy

wyocowboy

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 424 posts

Posted 03 April 2007 - 05:18 AM

Thanks, Dave. That is an answer that my simple mind can grasp.
Good luck is with the man who doesn't include it in his plan.
- Graffitti

#7 spielchekr

spielchekr

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 3,104 posts

Posted 03 April 2007 - 06:36 AM

Divergences be damned! One of these times, price will be forced to follow $NYAD into the great beyond.

Posted Image

#8 OEXCHAOS

OEXCHAOS

    Mark S. Young

  • Admin
  • 22,027 posts

Posted 03 April 2007 - 06:38 AM

Guys, also look at the cumulative A/D VOLUME. This is a BETTER indicator of liquidity. Similarly, it shows the NYSE with at least pretty good liquidity. That said, I'm a bit flummoxed by the Nasdaq Cumulative A/D Volume. It's still negative...for now.

Mark S Young
Wall Street Sentiment
Get a free trial here:
http://wallstreetsen...t.com/trial.htm
You can now follow me on twitter


#9 Data

Data

    Member

  • Validating
  • 2,618 posts

Posted 03 April 2007 - 07:22 AM

NYAD (AD line) also bottomed in March of 2000 and rallied for two years until the market bottomed in July 2002. It doesn't mean a whole lot by itself since indices and sectors draw constituent companies from all three exchanges.