I also notice that each major cycle peak started a bear market or 20% approx.
correction.
The big bull run started late 1994 w/low VIX, off a major cycle bottom.
Now we have a low VIX off the top of the cycle. Major difference there.
Armstrong Business Cycle + general thoughts from Euro-man
Started by
relax
, Apr 04 2007 06:24 AM
12 replies to this topic
#12
Russ
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Posted 04 April 2007 - 07:48 PM
Ross Clark over at Institutional Advisors has done a great deal of research on this cycle, he even followed Armstrong around for 6 months in the 1980's. (he said nobody can keep up with him intellectually) Clark's research shows that they range from 10-20% corrections on these pi cycles. If we got by with only a 5% that would be making history.
I also notice that each major cycle peak started a bear market or 20% approx.
correction.
The big bull run started late 1994 w/low VIX, off a major cycle bottom.
Now we have a low VIX off the top of the cycle. Major difference there.
"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong
http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong
http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/
#13
CLK
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- Traders-Talk User
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Member
Posted 04 April 2007 - 08:05 PM
Ross Clark over at Institutional Advisors has done a great deal of research on this cycle, he even followed Armstrong around for 6 months in the 1980's. (he said nobody can keep up with him intellectually) Clark's research shows that they range from 10-20% corrections on these pi cycles. If we got by with only a 5% that would be making history.
I also notice that each major cycle peak started a bear market or 20% approx.
correction.
The big bull run started late 1994 w/low VIX, off a major cycle bottom.
Now we have a low VIX off the top of the cycle. Major difference there.
Clark's work looks good. Thanks.
