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A Lot Like August--Bullish


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#1 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 24 May 2007 - 08:55 AM

Folks, this ratio is pretty bullish. Now, we don't have the fuel that we had last summer, but this aspect of sentiment, at least, is pretty supportive of higher prices, just as it was in August and September.

http://www.traders-t...ost&id=5606.png

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#2 Tor

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Posted 24 May 2007 - 08:58 AM

Folks, this ratio is pretty bullish. Now, we don't have the fuel that we had last summer, but this aspect of sentiment, at least, is pretty supportive of higher prices, just as it was in August and September.

http://www.traders-t...ost&id=5606.png


Looks good - 1553 IMO is a given! Will see.
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#3 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 24 May 2007 - 09:41 AM

I wish you guys would knock off the "easy money" and "it's a given" type comments. You're making me worry about you! :o :lol: Mark

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#4 thespookyone

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Posted 24 May 2007 - 10:39 AM

"Looks good - 1553 IMO is a given! Will see." Or maybe-they're "takin"

#5 ChickenLittle

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Posted 24 May 2007 - 10:41 AM

Interesting chart. What is the source of your ratio????
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#6 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 24 May 2007 - 06:02 PM

Interesting chart. What is the source of your ratio????


I'm sorry, I'm a fool. That's a 5-day SMA of our FF Actual Position Poll results.

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#7 spielchekr

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Posted 24 May 2007 - 06:12 PM

Mark; what's your take on the position results having been so consistently polarized towards the fully (fill in the blank) ends of the spectrum. Fully long + fully short completely overwhelms the sum total of the other three (partials & neutral) each and every day for weeks now, it seems.

#8 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 25 May 2007 - 09:27 AM

I think it's the darnedest thing! :lol: Seriously, though, I think it's a function of relatively low volatility and seemingly unending trendyness. That makes folks more stubborn and aggressive either from lack of being punished hard or lack of feeling stupid or just frustration. I suspect that we'll see new volatility to make folks more fearful of committing to an opinion. You should never feel smart when trading. ;) Mark

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