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Melt-up phase dead ahead...paraphrasing the blues brothers


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#1 VolPivots

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Posted 02 June 2007 - 09:32 PM

the bull gawd that is :)

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#2 da_cheif

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Posted 02 June 2007 - 10:26 PM

lol

#3 Rogerdodger

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Posted 02 June 2007 - 10:41 PM

THIS IS SPOOKY!

Your summer solstice is June 21st.
First Quarter Moon is June 22nd.
One of Terry's Laundry's "T" ends June 22nd.
But the Bradley is June 14th.
Estimated Taxes are due June 15th!
That IS spooky.

I'm selling everything at SPX 1585!

Edited by Rogerdodger, 02 June 2007 - 10:43 PM.


#4 thespookyone

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Posted 02 June 2007 - 10:55 PM

the bull gawd that is :)

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It looks like every break of your yellow line to the downside has lead to a bit of trouble- it must be "different this time" (NEVER my take).

Edited by thespookyone, 02 June 2007 - 10:56 PM.


#5 Tor

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Posted 03 June 2007 - 04:39 AM

the bull gawd that is :)

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It looks like every break of your yellow line to the downside has lead to a bit of trouble- it must be "different this time" (NEVER my take).


No it didnt - see May 2003 - the symmetrical oposite to the current time. We had a break and up she went!!!

Its funny the bear view, when the market goes up so strongly. COT@s long, internals etc. It just seems strange to me.

:redbull: :redbull:
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#6 Tor

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Posted 03 June 2007 - 05:09 AM

the bull gawd that is :)

Posted Image


It looks like every break of your yellow line to the downside has lead to a bit of trouble- it must be "different this time" (NEVER my take).


No it didnt - see May 2003 - the symmetrical oposite to the current time. We had a break and up she went!!!

Its funny the bear view, when the market goes up so strongly. COT@s long, internals etc. It just seems strange to me.

:redbull: :redbull:


Good chart by the way. Thanks. I had 1600 pensiccled in however.
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The future is 90% present and 10% vision.

#7 thespookyone

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Posted 03 June 2007 - 10:42 AM

"No it didnt - see May 2003 - the symmetrical oposite to the current time. We had a break and up she went!!! Its funny the bear view, when the market goes up so strongly. COT@s long, internals etc. It just seems strange to me." It would seem even funnier for you to point out the one time it went that way on the chart out 7 or so crosses, 4 years ago-and assume that the 14 percent or so probability it represents -equals a good oportunity? And, what internals could you be looking at-that truly has me stumped?

Edited by thespookyone, 03 June 2007 - 10:44 AM.


#8 arbman

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Posted 03 June 2007 - 01:43 PM

THIS IS SPOOKY!

Your summer solstice is June 21st.
First Quarter Moon is June 22nd.
One of Terry's Laundry's "T" ends June 22nd.
But the Bradley is June 14th.
Estimated Taxes are due June 15th!
That IS spooky.

I'm selling everything at SPX 1585!


A lot of my stuff has been saying late June too, I said it many times here, SO it will probably sell earlier.
There is nothing more bullish than turning a terminal date into a low point for the bulls. It shall sell next week and bottom at the end of June, if it happens, Airedale rulez...

#9 VolPivots

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Posted 03 June 2007 - 08:38 PM

A lot of my stuff has been saying late June too, I said it many times here, SO it will probably sell earlier.
There is nothing more bullish than turning a terminal date into a low point for the bulls. It shall sell next week and bottom at the end of June, if it happens, Airedale rulez...

Never marry a view......index call/put premium ratio closed south of .5 last week--first non-opex weekly close that low in many, many moons. Looking for VST weakness...see what conditions look afterwards iff we get a pause.

#10 Russ

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Posted 03 June 2007 - 11:26 PM

Latest work I have done is indicating final top by the end of June, likely June 26+/- a day for OEX and SPX, Dow showing high in there too, perhaps slightly longer. So I am using a totally different method than you and getting about the same result...multiple confirmations is a good sign. Low should come at the end of July in line with Airedales cycles.
"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
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